Week 4 upset watch

September, 17, 2012
9/17/12
3:00
PM ET
Sorry, Virginia Tech. By completely leaving the Hokies off this list last week, I gave Virginia Tech the official kiss of death -- not to mention too much credit. Remember this?
There is no No. 3 this week. If Virginia Tech loses to a Pitt team that lost back-to-back games to Youngstown State and Cincinnati, then the Hokies will give the Panthers an early welcome into the ACC.

Whoops. Can you say red carpet?

I never learn my lesson, either. I say this week there’s not a snowball’s chance the Hokies lose at home to Bowling Green. I say there’s no way Maryland beats West Virginia. And not in a million years will Miami’s depleted defense slow down Georgia Tech. One ranked ACC team is going to lose, of course. Will it be Florida State or Clemson? Remember, these are NOT predictions, just a look at the most likely upsets on the schedule this week.

Here’s this week’s upset watch:

1. No. 10 Clemson at No. 4 Florida State: If the Tigers are going to pull off the upset, they’re going to have to win the battle up front against the Noles’ defensive line, and the defense can’t afford to give up big plays on the perimeter. Field position and special teams will also be big in this game.

2. The Citadel at NC State: The Citadel is No. 21 in the latest FCS poll, and is coming off an impressive win over Appalachian State. The Bulldogs scored on their first five possessions in a 52-28 win and are now 3-0 overall and 2-0 in the Southern Conference for the first time since winning the SoCon title in 1992. This will be like a bowl game for the Bulldogs, as it’s their only game of the season against an FBS opponent. They’re aiming for their first win against an FBS opponent since beating Arkansas (10-3) and Army (15-14) in 1992.

3. Virginia at No. 17 TCU: The Horned Frogs had four turnovers in a 20-6 win over Kansas. Sound familiar? The Hoos had that many in their Week 2 win over Penn State. TCU quarterback Casey Pachall fumbled three times for TCU. The big thing UVa will have to overcome is TCU’s home field advantage and its defense, which has only allowed six points in two games.

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