Snapping the streak: FSU vs. Miami

March, 13, 2014
3/13/14
10:30
AM ET
Time to move on in our look at recent streaks in some of the biggest ACC rivalries.

Up today: Florida State vs. Miami

The series: Miami leads, 31-27

Last meeting: Nov. 2, 2013 in Tallahassee. Florida State and Miami met as Top-10 teams for the first time since 2004, reigniting buzz that both programs were headed back to national prominence. But the Seminoles are the only ones who proved they indeed are back as national players. Florida State took control in the second half, routing its rivals 41-14. Miami played it close in the first half, trailing 21-14 at halftime. But after the Hurricanes lost star running back Duke Johnson to a broken ankle in the third quarter, they fell apart. Florida State ended the game on a 28-0 run, showing everyone just how big a gap there appears to be between the two programs. Miami ended up dropping three straight to fall out of the Top 25.

The streak: Florida State has won four straight and seven of the last nine. But before this recent run of success, the Hurricanes won six straight between 2000-2004. Florida State owns the longest streak in the series, winning seven straight between 1963-72. Twelve times between 1987 and 2004, Miami and Florida State met as Top-10 teams -- including seven straight from 1987-93. Miami went 5-2 in those Top-10 matchups.

The skinny: This game used to get top billing nationally, when both programs were fighting for national championships every season. But since its heyday ended 10 years ago, the teams have been unable to recreate the brilliance that made their annual matchups so compelling. The fact that both programs fell out of the Top 10 for an extended period has much to do with that. While Florida State stormed back to the national championship last season, Miami continues to play catch up.

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Will Miami beat Florida State in 2014?

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    21%
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    79%

Discuss (Total votes: 4,588)

The Canes lag behind the Seminoles for a host of reasons. They have not recruited at the same consistent level as Florida State, nor have they produced as much NFL talent as Florida State. Depth remains an issue, and there also is a big difference between the way the teams play in the trenches. Florida State imposes its will, both on the offensive and defensive lines. The same cannot be said for the Hurricanes.

Miami has played Florida State close during stretches in its most recent matchups. But as was the case in the last two meetings, Miami simply got physically worn down as the game progressed. Losing Johnson last season was a huge, debilitating blow. Still, in this recent four-game winning streak, Florida State has won by double digits three times.

The prediction: Florida State. The teams meet in Miami this season on Nov. 15, the third time in the last four years they are scheduled to play in November. The Seminoles are expected to go into the season ranked No. 1, with an eye on another championship. Heisman Trophy winner Jameis Winston returns, giving Florida State an edge in just about every game it will play. Miami, meanwhile, will most likely start the season unranked for the fourth-straight season and has questions at quarterback and across the defense. Given what we have seen out of both programs, it is hard to envision Miami putting an end to the losing streak in 2014.

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