Sunday, November 3, 2013
BCS: FSU back at No. 2 but for how long?
By Andrea Adelson
Florida State moved back to No. 2 in the latest BCS standings released Sunday night, but the biggest question of all remains:
For how long?
The Noles took down No. 7 Miami 41-14 on Saturday night, giving them two wins over top-10 teams this season -- more than No. 1 Alabama and No. 3 Oregon. The strength of those two wins has Florida State No. 1 in computer average and vaulted the Noles ahead of the Ducks this week. Of the six computers used, five had the Noles at No. 1. But Florida State remains ranked No. 3 in both human polls used in the calculations, good for 2/3 of the formula.
The bad news for Florida State is that the toughest part of its schedule is over. The Noles have no teams remaining on the regular-season schedule with a winning record. The four teams remaining on the slate -- Wake Forest, Syracuse, Idaho and Florida -- are a combined 13-21. So Florida State is not going to remain No. 1 in the computers for long.
Oregon, meanwhile, faces No. 5 Stanford on Thursday night. Alabama faces No. 13 LSU on Saturday, and also has to play No. 9 Auburn later this season. The belief is that if the three teams win out, Oregon would end up jumping Florida State back into the No. 2 spot and the coveted slot in the BCS national championship game.
Florida State does have the ACC championship game remaining, so the best-case scenario is for the Noles to face a one-loss Miami team in that contest to help its strength of schedule. The Hurricanes dropped to No. 11 after the loss to Florida State but have to play the rest of the season without running back Duke Johnson, their best player.
Florida, which started the season ranked as a top-10 team, has done no favors for the Seminoles' strength of schedule, either. The Gators are 4-4 and in a fight for bowl eligibility.
Clemson remained in the mix for an at-large BCS berth, moving up one spot to No. 7. So even though Florida State beat Clemson and Miami by a combined 92-28, both teams are ranked in the top 11 of the standings. And yet, that may still not be good enough if Oregon wins out.