The Dolphins are up against a nasty run defense. AccuScore, basing its forecast on 10,000 computer simulations, projects a rough afternoon for Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams at less than 3 yards a carry.
Other projected stats: Chad Henne and Brett Favre each throw for under 215 yards, and Vikings running back Adrian Peterson runs for 92 yards, with a 58 percent likelihood of scoring a touchdown. If Peterson hits 100 yards and scores a touchdown, then the Vikings have an 82 percent chance of winning.
Overall, the Vikings win 69 percent of the simulations by an average of eight points.