AccuScore forecasts the Dolphins remaining an anomaly with an undefeated road record while winless at home.
But there's wiggle room. Overall, the Dolphins win 47 percent of the time in AccuScore's 10,000 simulations. If Cameron Wake and his fellow pass-rushers can sack Ben Roethlisberger at least four times (doable), and Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown can average 4 yards a carry (also doable), then the Dolphins' chances of victory rise to 67 percent.
If the Steelers can pick off Chad Henne at least twice, they have a 73 percent chance to win.