Double Coverage: Jets at Patriots

September, 11, 2013
9/11/13
12:00
PM ET
Tom Brady, Muhammad WilkersonGetty ImagesMuhammad Wilkerson and the Jets defense will need to get to Patriots QB Tom Brady.

FOXBOROUGH, Mass. -- When discussing the New England Patriots-New York Jets rivalry this week, quarterback Tom Brady called it “awesome.”

“I mean, it’s Boston-New York,” he said. “Any time you see them on the schedule, you just think of all the great games that you’ve had against them and you think of how challenging the game will be.”

With Brady leading the way, the Patriots have had the upper hand; he is 17-4 against the Jets since elevating to the starting job in 2001. Rex Ryan was the Jets’ head coach for three of those losses, as his defensive schemes have been some of the most challenging that Brady has seen on an annual basis.

“When you play against somebody like Brady and [Bill] Belichick, if they know 100 percent what you're in, then you're in trouble,” Ryan said of his past game-planning approach. “Obviously, we can't do that. We have to be multiple in what we do."

ESPN Patriots reporter Mike Reiss and ESPN Jets reporter Rich Cimini preview the matchup:

Reiss: It’s a quick turnaround for both teams, Rich, with the Thursday night kickoff. Many probably expected the Patriots to be 1-0 entering the game, although not the way they got there. It was a big struggle for them on the road against the Bills. Then there are the Jets, who many probably didn’t expect to be 1-0, but they pulled off the victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Start us off with some things that need to happen for them to run it to 2-0.

Cimini: It's simple, Mike: The Jets need to play great defense, and that means putting a lot of hits on Brady. They don't beat the Patriots too often (Rex Ryan is 3-6), but when they do, it's because of the defense. Mo Wilkerson & Co. really need to make a statement in this game. They also need a low-mistake game out of Geno Smith. Look, he's a rookie quarterback, so he's bound to make a few. They just can't be mistakes that directly impact the scoreboard, a la Mark Sanchez. From a New York perspective, I think the big question is, “Can Brady be Brady without his old supporting cast?”

Reiss: There are two layers to the answer, Rich. When the Patriots needed Brady to come through with the clutch drive at the end of the opener, it was vintage Brady. Sunday marked the 36th time that he’s led the Patriots to victory when facing a fourth-quarter deficit or tie. The surprise was that it would take a fourth-quarter game-winning drive to beat the Bills and that’s because of some of his struggles adjusting to almost a completely new receiving corps. It’s clear that Brady has developed an early rapport with Danny Amendola, but Amendola might not play Thursday because of a groin injury. Running back Shane Vereen (wrist surgery) will be out too, and those are two of the team’s most explosive skill-position players. It’s never an easy time to play the Patriots, but from a Jets perspective, this could be a good time to catch them. I could envision the Jets’ defense holding down the Patriots to give them a chance to win, but do they have enough firepower on offense themselves?

Cimini: In a word, no. The Jets don't have a lot of firepower on offense. Their most effective weapon in Week 1 was a 30-year-old tight end with one good knee -- Kellen Winslow. Santonio Holmes isn't the same player he used to be, especially not after foot surgery. Stephen Hill is a tease -- big and talented, but inconsistent. Remember last year's game in Foxborough, when he had that killer drop? The biggest concern might be the running game. Bilal Powell and Chris Ivory didn't show much last week, averaging 2.0 yards per carry between them. They need a better rushing attack to help Smith, who can't survive if he's in constant third-and-long situations. I'm curious to see how the Patriots attack the rookie. How did they approach Bills rookie QB EJ Manuel in the opener? Seems like he had a decent game.

Reiss: I’d sum up the Patriots’ defensive approach as one that made limiting running back C.J. Spiller the top priority (they were successful in limiting him to 2.4 yards per carry), followed by keeping Manuel in the pocket and seeing if he could beat them with his arm. Manuel was better than I expected. One thing to keep in mind is that the Patriots were almost exclusively in their nickel defense because the up-tempo Bills always had three or more receivers on the field. Overall, the Patriots didn’t blitz much and there wasn’t consistent pressure on Manuel out of the four-man rush. It will be interesting to see if they take the same approach with Smith, who can make some plays with his feet as well. In the chess match between Ryan and Belichick, do you anticipate Ryan introducing anything out of the norm?

Cimini: Great question, Mike. You never know what you're going to get from Rex. In last year's Thanksgiving game, the Jets played five or more defensive backs on 56 out of 65 plays, though the Patriots didn't play a lot of three-receiver packages. They were daring the Patriots to run the ball. This time, I think the focus will be on the running game, considering Brady has lost his main weapons. I wouldn't be surprised if the Jets play more 4-3 than usual; they played it a little last week against the Bucs. Offensively, they'll keep it fairly conservative. They don't want to put the rookie QB in bad situations. Ryan will play it close to the vest, hoping to steal a win in the fourth quarter.

Reiss: For the Patriots, one of the big storylines to watch is how running back Stevan Ridley responds. He was benched last week after his second-quarter fumble that was returned 74 yards for a touchdown and didn’t play again the rest of the game. ESPN NFL analyst Tedy Bruschi often makes the point that when a defense watches film and sees a player vulnerable with ball-security it’s like a shark ready to attack. The Patriots had three turnovers in the season opener and those are the types of things that can keep an offensively-challenged Jets team in the game. Have a safe trip into town and we’ll see you at kickoff.

Mike Reiss

ESPN New England Patriots reporter

Rich Cimini

ESPN New York Jets reporter

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