AccuScore fun: Playoff and draft seeds
December, 3, 2009
12/03/09
10:58
AM ET
By Tim Graham | ESPN.com
AccuScore means many things to many people.
For some, it's a source for predicting game outcomes. To others, it's a reality check for your team's playoff chances. For a few, it's another opportunity to catch Jenny Dell video clips on the AFC East blog.
To give a sense of where teams stand, every now and again I take AccuScore's latest projections, round off the win totals and forecast the upcoming playoff field and draft order for 2010.
Before we get to those lists, let's take a look at how AccuScore rates the playoff hopes of AFC East clubs. This is not a measurement of how mathematically alive each team is, rather a realistic expectation based on complex computations that factor trends and remaining schedules.
AccuScore pegs the Miami Dolphins' chances of qualifying for the postseason at 11.0 percent and winning the division at 5.2 percent. You can see how Sunday's loss to the Buffalo Bills hurt the Dolphins when you consider a week ago they were given a 27 percent chance to reach the playoffs.
The New York Jets are at 4.9 percent and 1.8 percent.
Buffalo is given a 0.5 percent chance at the playoffs and 0.1 percent at the division. AccuScore gave the Bills no shot to win the division a week ago, so they're headed in the right direction.
Projected AFC playoff field
1. St. Louis Rams
2. Cleveland Browns
3. Detroit Lions
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
5. Oakland Raiders
6. Washington Redskins
7. Kansas City Chiefs
8. Carolina Panthers
9. Seattle Seahawks
10. Buffalo Bills
11. Chicago Bears
12. New York Jets
13. Miami Dolphins
14. Houston Texans
15. San Francisco 49ers
16. Tennessee Titans
17. Jacksonville Jaguars
18. Atlanta Falcons
19. New York Giants
20. Baltimore Ravens
For some, it's a source for predicting game outcomes. To others, it's a reality check for your team's playoff chances. For a few, it's another opportunity to catch Jenny Dell video clips on the AFC East blog.
To give a sense of where teams stand, every now and again I take AccuScore's latest projections, round off the win totals and forecast the upcoming playoff field and draft order for 2010.
Before we get to those lists, let's take a look at how AccuScore rates the playoff hopes of AFC East clubs. This is not a measurement of how mathematically alive each team is, rather a realistic expectation based on complex computations that factor trends and remaining schedules.
AccuScore pegs the Miami Dolphins' chances of qualifying for the postseason at 11.0 percent and winning the division at 5.2 percent. You can see how Sunday's loss to the Buffalo Bills hurt the Dolphins when you consider a week ago they were given a 27 percent chance to reach the playoffs.
The New York Jets are at 4.9 percent and 1.8 percent.
Buffalo is given a 0.5 percent chance at the playoffs and 0.1 percent at the division. AccuScore gave the Bills no shot to win the division a week ago, so they're headed in the right direction.
Projected AFC playoff field
- AFC South: Indianapolis Colts 15-1
- AFC West: San Diego Chargers 11-5
- AFC North: Cincinnati Bengals 11-5
- AFC East: New England Patriots 11-5
- AFC wild cards: Pittsburgh Steelers 10-6, Denver Broncos 10-6
- NFC South: New Orleans Saints 15-1
- NFC North: Minnesota Vikings 14-2
- NFC East: Dallas Cowboys 11-5
- NFC West: Arizona Cardinals 10-6
- NFC wild cards: Philadelphia Eagles 10-6, Green Bay Packers 10-6
1. St. Louis Rams
2. Cleveland Browns
3. Detroit Lions
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
5. Oakland Raiders
6. Washington Redskins
7. Kansas City Chiefs
8. Carolina Panthers
9. Seattle Seahawks
10. Buffalo Bills
11. Chicago Bears
12. New York Jets
13. Miami Dolphins
14. Houston Texans
15. San Francisco 49ers
16. Tennessee Titans
17. Jacksonville Jaguars
18. Atlanta Falcons
19. New York Giants
20. Baltimore Ravens
ABOUT THIS BLOG
James Walker
Walker joined ESPN.com in 2008 after four seasons covering the NFL and NBA for the Columbus (Ohio) Dispatch. He's a Temple graduate and Hyattsville, Md. native who lives in Miami.
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