Thursday, October 28, 2010
Dolphins-Bengals looks like a slugfest
Based on this year's trends, the AccuScore forecast should show a 100 percent chance of a Miami Dolphins victory Sunday against the Cincinnati Bengals.
The Dolphins are 0-3 at home and 3-0 on the road, and the game is taking place in Paul Brown Stadium.
It's never truly that easy, but AccuScore's 10,000 computer simulations never fail to provide a winning formula.
If the Dolphins can average at least 4 yards against a run defense rated 21st in average per carry and Brandon Marshall can gain at least 75 receiving yards, then the Dolphins have a 59 percent chance of remaining undefeated as visitors.
Better yet, the Dolphins will have a 65 percent chance of winning if they can hold Bengals running back Cedric Benson to less than 75 yards and Carson Palmer throws for more than 275 yards, suggesting the Bengals are playing from behind.
Overall, however, the Dolphins are a slight 50.7 percent favorite.