Thursday, December 23, 2010
Bears favored over Jets in pick game
In a game between quarterbacks with reputations for being careless, you better believe the one who avoids interceptions will give his team a significant advantage Sunday.
That's why AccuScore's report for the New York Jets and Chicago Bears at Soldier Field focuses on Mark Sanchez and Jay Cutler and little else.
The Bears won 59 percent of AccuScore's 10,000 simulations by an average of three points. With that foundation, the trends also favored Cutler when it came to being efficient.
In simulations where Sanchez didn't throw an interception, the Jets' chances increased to just 55 percent. When Cutler didn't throw one, the Bears' chances rose to 72 percent.
In games when the Jets averaged 4 yards per carry against the NFL's third-ranked run defense, they won 51 percent of the time. The Jets averaged 4.8 yards against the top-rated Pittsburgh Steelers last weekend.