Telling info on downs and distances

October, 18, 2012
10/18/12
1:57
PM ET
Earlier today, I spent some time combing through what AFC South offenses have done by down and distance.

There is some telling information in there. Here is a bit on each of our teams.

Texans

Facing third-and-6 or less, Houston is not very predictable:
  • 24 runs, 12 first downs
  • 30 passes, 19 first downs

Defenses have to respect the run possibilities there, which helps the play-action and influences the passing numbers.

Titans

Facing second-and-10, Tennessee actually runs the ball better than it throws it:
  • 8 runs, 3.38-yard average, but zero conversions
  • 22 passes, 3.23 yard average, 13.64 percent conversions

For as bad as the Titans are at running the ball, those numbers are a real indictment of the passing game.

On third down, the Titans have run four times and thrown 72 times. Not hard for defenses to predict what's coming there.

Colts

Facing third-and-4 or less, Indianapolis has been compelled to throw:
  • 5 runs, 3 first downs
  • 24 passes, 9 first downs

While the conversion rate is better when they run it, they've done it infrequently and its shows a lack of faith in their ground game.

Jaguars

Facing first-and-10, the Jaguars have shown great balance:
  • 51 runs for a 4.55-yard average
  • 50 passes for 5.78 average yards

On second-and-6 or less, the Jaguars are probably going to run it:
  • 22 runs, 4.64-yard average, 12 first downs
  • 7 passes, 1.86 yard average, 1 first down

It's impressive they can gain that much on the ground considering there is hardly a reason to defend the pass.

Paul Kuharsky | email

ESPN Tennessee Titans reporter

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