Wednesday, April 11, 2012
Is the seventh pick a particularly bad one?
By Paul Kuharsky
My eyes were on my iPhone as usual at lunch today -- tasty fajitas, by the way -- and I was struck by this National Football Post piece by Greg Gabriel.
He posits that there may be just six premium playersin the draft: quarterbacks Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III, tackle Matt Kalil, cornerback Morris Claiborne, running back Trent Richardson and receiver Justin Blackmon.
If that is, in fact, how things stack up and the extent of the elite or premium guys, then No. 7 is a terrible draft slot unless there is a major bobble ahead of it.
The Jacksonville Jaguars sit with the seventh pick.
Let’s look at that in the best and worst possible lights.
- The best: Only one player at the Jaguars' two biggest positions of need will be gone -- Blackmon. They would have their choice of all the defensive linemen in the draft, the No. 2 receiver or have the luxury of taking the guy they view as the best available player regardless of position. Someone could jump up to take quarterback Ryan Tannehill, meaning one of the top six is still around at seven. Or Tannehill remains on the board and someone wants to trade to No. 7 to get ahead of Miami at No. 8 in order to select him.
- The worst: Defensive linemen are a need for virtually everyone, and that none qualify for one of the first half dozen picks tells us the consensus is the chance at an impact guy are lower than normal. So getting the first end of the draft at No. 7 is no cause for a parade. Nobody moves on Tannehill leaving him for the Dolphins or someone later, and the seventh spot has limited trade appeal.
Do you agree with the idea that the premium territory of this draft is six players deep? Is it more? Less? Chime in on the poll and below.