Tuesday, January 29, 2013
On the Colts' need at corner
By Paul Kuharsky
Among the Colts' list of needs, cornerback ranks right up there with offensive linemen.
Steve Palazzolo of Pro Football Focus has Indianapolis on the list of teams that should look into trading for Darrelle Revis of the Jets.
“Bringing in Revis would allow them to allocate their resources toward must-needed upgrades to the front seven and ensure they can do something they weren't able to do this year: Shut down a team's wideouts,” Palazzolo writes.
But the Colts don’t have the ammo to make the deal. They are without a second-round draft pick in April because they sent it to Miami for the one good corner they do have: Vontae Davis.
With a lot of needs, sending picks to New York for Revis would be a difficult thing to do.
Tying into the Colts’ need at corner, it’s interesting to see the impact a big play they got from a cornerback in Super Bowl XLI had on the game.
William Cohen of ESPN Stats and Info looked at the 10 plays that created the biggest swings in win probability in the recent history of the Super Bowl.
Kelvin Hayden’s interception of Rex Grossman ranks ninth -- raising an already high win probability up an additional 24.7 points.
A reminder of the scenario from Cohen:
Situation: 11:59 left in 4th quarter, Bears' ball, trailing by 5, 1st-and-10 from own 38-yard line
Trailing by five early in the fourth quarter, the Bears still had about a 34 percent chance to make a comeback, but a Rex Grossman interception returned 56 yards for a touchdown by Kelvin Hayden made the score 29-17 and sealed the deal for the Colts, raising their win probability to 90.8 percent.
Win probability for a team that put together an 11-5 regular season will rise with cornerback addressed. I’d be really surprised if they are a player for Revis. But I expect they’ll spend a first- or third-round draft pick plus something later on the spot.
Dee Milliner from Alabama is likely to be gone by the time the Colts draft at 24th.
Johnathan Banks of Mississippi State could be an intriguing first-round option.
Scouts Inc. says he has good situational awareness and might be at his best in man-press coverage. The Colts didn’t get good situational awareness from Cassius Vaughn, who played the bulk of the season as a starter. And Chuck Pagano wants corners who can play tight man coverage.