AFC South: Ben Hartsock
Some readers have already hit my mailbox to ask about compensatory draft picks.
The complex formula that determines who gets what is a bit of a mystery. But not so much to AdamJT13.
He's had success in the past predicting picks the NFL will award to help offset free-agent losses from a year ago. In this blog entry he predicts:
- The Titans will get a fourth-rounder for Antwan Odom.
- The Colts will get a fourth-rounder for Jake Scott.
- The Titans will get a fifth-rounder for Travis LaBoy.
- The Titans will get a sixth-rounder for Randy Starks.
- The Titans will get a seventh-rounder for Ben Hartsock.
- The Jaguars will get a seventh-rounder for Terry Cousin. [Correcting an earlier version where I missed this, thanks to spectre4372.]
Compensatory selections are untradeable, but make it a lot easier for teams to trade other picks.
Our code-breaker doesn't forecast any compensatory picks for Houston. He does have the Jaguars on a list of teams that could get another one if things break differently than he projects.
If these predictions come true, they would give the Titans a grand total of 10 picks, the Colts a grand total of eight picks and the Jaguars a grand total of seven.
A review of what the three teams have before compensatory picks are awarded.
Tennessee -- six picks
First round: 30th overall
Second round: 62nd
Third round: 94th
Also: 30th in the fourth round, 30th in the sixth round, 30th in the seventh round. Their fifth-round pick was traded to Dallas.
Indianapolis -- seven picks
First round: 27th overall
Second round: 61st
Third round: 92nd
Also: 27th in the fourth round, 29th in the fifth round, 28th in the sixth round, 27th in the seventh round.
Jacksonville -- six picks
First round -- Eighth overall
Second round -- 39th
Third round -- 72nd overall
Also: Seventh in the fourth round; eighth in the fifth round; seventh in the sixth round. Seventh-round pick was traded to Tampa Bay.
For a bit more about AdamJT13's track record, see this entry from Mike Sando over in the NFC West headquarters.