AFC South: Compensatory draft picks
Compensatory free agents are determined by a formula based on salary, playing time and postseason honors. The formula was developed by the NFL Management Council. Not every free agent lost or signed by a club is covered by this formula.
The Texans get a third-rounder, No. 95 overall, and a sixth-rounder, 201st overall as a result of losing Jason Allen, Mike Brisiel, Joel Dreessen and Mario Williams while signing Bradie James and Donnie Jones.
The Titans get a third rounder, 97th overall, a sixth-rounder, 202nd overall and a seventh-rounder, 248th overall as a result of losing Cortland Finnegan, William Hayes and Jason Jones. Their two prominent signings, Kamerion Wimbley and Steve Hutchinson, were cut by their previous teams. The formula factors in only players who had expiring contracts and became free agents. The Titans signed none who qualified for consideration in the league’s equation.
The Colts get a seventh-rounder, 254th overall even though they did not suffer a net loss of compensatory free agents last year. Under the formula, the compensatory free agents lost by the Colts ranked higher than the ones they signed. The formula needs annually adds 32 picks, the equivalent of a full round of picks, to the draft and the Giants and Colts got the two extra picks to fill out that number.
The Jaguars didn't qualify for an extra pick
Complete team-by-team draft orders will appear here shortly.
Some readers have already hit my mailbox to ask about compensatory draft picks.
The complex formula that determines who gets what is a bit of a mystery. But not so much to AdamJT13.
He's had success in the past predicting picks the NFL will award to help offset free-agent losses from a year ago. In this blog entry he predicts:
- The Titans will get a fourth-rounder for Antwan Odom.
- The Colts will get a fourth-rounder for Jake Scott.
- The Titans will get a fifth-rounder for Travis LaBoy.
- The Titans will get a sixth-rounder for Randy Starks.
- The Titans will get a seventh-rounder for Ben Hartsock.
- The Jaguars will get a seventh-rounder for Terry Cousin. [Correcting an earlier version where I missed this, thanks to spectre4372.]
Compensatory selections are untradeable, but make it a lot easier for teams to trade other picks.
Our code-breaker doesn't forecast any compensatory picks for Houston. He does have the Jaguars on a list of teams that could get another one if things break differently than he projects.
If these predictions come true, they would give the Titans a grand total of 10 picks, the Colts a grand total of eight picks and the Jaguars a grand total of seven.
A review of what the three teams have before compensatory picks are awarded.
Tennessee -- six picks
First round: 30th overall
Second round: 62nd
Third round: 94th
Also: 30th in the fourth round, 30th in the sixth round, 30th in the seventh round. Their fifth-round pick was traded to Dallas.
Indianapolis -- seven picks
First round: 27th overall
Second round: 61st
Third round: 92nd
Also: 27th in the fourth round, 29th in the fifth round, 28th in the sixth round, 27th in the seventh round.
Jacksonville -- six picks
First round -- Eighth overall
Second round -- 39th
Third round -- 72nd overall
Also: Seventh in the fourth round; eighth in the fifth round; seventh in the sixth round. Seventh-round pick was traded to Tampa Bay.
For a bit more about AdamJT13's track record, see this entry from Mike Sando over in the NFC West headquarters.