AFC South: Rodger Saffold

Virtually every prognosticator is giving the Indianapolis Colts a first-round offensive tackle, and Boston College’s Anthony Castonzo, Colorado’s Nate Solder and Mississippi State’s Derek Sherrod could all be nice fits.

Much has been made of vice chairman Bill Polian’s comment during the 2010 season about how Rodger Saffold, a tackle the Colts passed on who went on to play quite well for St. Louis, could have helped for Indianapolis.

But Polian said that comment got misshapen as it was repeated.

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Charlie Johnson
Stew Milne/US PresswireColts tackle Charlie Johnson played hurt for most of the 2010 season.
“What I said was, if I’d know we were going to suffer all the injuries we had on the offensive line, we might have looked at things differently in terms of the draft,” he said. “Because when you are drafting as low as we were, there isn’t a lot of difference between the players. I said, ‘You know, you could make the argument that we should have taken Rodger Saffold instead of the player that we took.’

“That’s what I said. It’s been construed very differently. What I meant was, if foresight were 20-20, we probably would have taken an offensive tackle. But it isn’t and that’s the point. This is an inexact business.”

(I thought the use of “the player” as opposed to “Jerry Hughes” was both Parcellian and a little odd.)

The Colts certainly had banged up people playing on the line all year, but by my count there look to have been just five starts missed to injury through the regular season and playoff loss. The injuries were far more severe elsewhere in terms of lost games.

Indianapolis has spent 12 picks on offensive linemen since realignment in 2002. Only one, guard Jake Scott from 2004’s fifth-round, qualified as an outright hit. He moved to Tennessee as a free agent in 2008 and helped pave the road for Chris Johnson's 2,000-yard season in 2009 before dropping off last season.

The franchise hasn’t used a first-round pick on a lineman since 1997, when Tarik Glenn was the choice. That was the year before Polian joined the franchise.

Only two of the Colts’ dozen offensive line picks since 2002 have been higher than fourth-round selections. They traded up to take Tony Ugoh in the second round in 2007 and he wound up busting. They took Mike Pollak in 2008 and he was an OK starter at right guard in 2010 based on the team’s concerns at other spots.

The presumption is offensive line is viewed as an issue in-house and that to maximize the chances for the Peyton Manning-led Colts to claim another Super Bowl, they need to offer him better protection and be able to block better for a tough yard from a running back.

But going in that direction would mean at least a minor philosophy change for Polian when it comes to draft emphasis at the position.

I don’t know if we should jump there considering Polian’s assessment of the Colts’ line play in 2010. The team started seven different offensive linemen with left tackle Charlie Johnson playing banged up all season and Kyle DeVan pushing Jamey Richard out of the left guard slot.

“Now I thought our offensive line, given all that happened with injuries, did very well," Polian said. "As it turns out, Jeff Linkenbach came in as a collegiate free agent and ended the season as a starter and did quite well. So those things work themselves out.”

Linkenbach started one game at left tackle, three games at right guard and the playoff loss to the Jets at right tackle.

Here we can connect Mel Kiper’s recent piece ranking the “vulnerability scale” of the NFL’s 12 best teams. Kiper ranks the Colts at moderately to extremely vulnerable for a big fall.
“Seemingly every win after September was a close battle and Manning was the difference. Injuries killed the Colts in 2010, but even with Manning upright, they couldn't run the ball, they were barely hanging on defensively and even now there are a number of personnel needs. The offensive line and defensive interior need help, and the team didn't get hurt in a spot I thought could have hurt it most in an injury situation -- the pass rush, if either Dwight Freeney or Robert Mathis was out. Indianapolis could easily prove me wrong, as Manning alone seems like spackle enough for a whole roster. But this team felt like it was on the edge all of 2010.”

Leading Questions: AFC South

February, 22, 2011
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With the offseason in full swing, let’s take a look at one major question facing each AFC South team as it begins preparations for the 2011 season:

HOUSTON TEXANS

How do they fix the secondary?

New defensive coordinator Wade Phillips is charged with repairing and revitalizing a defense that was 30th overall and dead last against the pass. His 3-4 front will alter a lot of things and the Texans will need to add some personnel to fill it out. Better work up front will ease some of the pressure on the defensive backs, but they will need more than that.

We don’t know when -- or even if -- there will be free agency. But the Texans need to make a big splash with a veteran outsider. Nnamdi Asomugha or Champ Bailey could knock every one down a peg at corner, shut down a side of the field or a primary receiver and help transform things. A veteran free safety like Eric Weddle could provide a big boost as well.

If the Texans think the pass defense can be fixed by coaching and will improve dramatically with a scheme and maturing kids, they’re overestimating what they’ve got, again.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

Are they going to take action to address the offensive line?

We’ve heard for years about how the Colts would get better at converting that tough third-and-1 in the run game. We saw Bill Polian drop Ryan Lilja after pointing to the offensive line as a reason for the loss in Super Bowl XLIV. We heard Polian admit Rodger Saffold could have been a solution for the Colts at left tackle.

Now, as Peyton Manning heads into the final stretch of his prime, the Colts need to move from talk to action with regard to the offensive line. After last year’s comments, Polian added middling free agents Andy Alleman and Adam Terry and drafted Jacques McClendon in the fourth round. Only McClendon stuck and he did nothing.

Getting Manning more time for things to develop downfield and creating more of a push for ball carriers means investing at least one premium draft pick and landing at least one quality veteran via free agency or trade when those windows open. The Colts don’t have to find Hall of Fame linemen. But there is a lot of room between some of the guys they’ve been relying on and that level of talent.

They’re overdue to follow through with a real revamping.

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

How do they fix the secondary?

With four games a season against Manning and Matt Schaub, the Jaguars are woefully unprepared to face them with what they’ve got at safety. Last season, Jacksonville spent its first four draft picks on defensive linemen. This season, they’d be wise to put a similar emphasis on the secondary, and safety in particular.

Ideally they’d have drafted an up-and-comer to go with a veteran brought in from the outside -- someone like Weddle, Dawan Landry, Quintin Mikell or Donte Whitner. They've already had Bob Sanders in for a look. While depth at cornerback is also an issue, I suspect Rashean Mathis, Derek Cox and William Middleton will all look a lot better if they are playing with safeties who are superior to Don Carey and Courtney Greene.

They’ve got a big question at quarterback, too. It’s time to draft and develop a signal-caller with more upside who can be more consistent than David Garrard. But they contended last season with Garrard. It's possible they can make a playoff push with him under center -- provided they address the secondary.

TENNESSEE TITANS

Who’s the quarterback?

There couldn’t be a worse time to be uncertain at the position, and the Titans’ depth chart at the spot currently has blanks at starter and backup. Blame it on Bud Adams and his love affair with Vince Young.

New coach Mike Munchak and his offensive coordinator Chris Palmer don’t really know what they will be able to do offensively, because they do not know who they will be asking to do it. General Manager Mike Reinfeldt has said the team will find a veteran and use a draft pick. But if the draft comes before free agency and trades, it will be more difficult to be patient and to take more of a project guy out of college. It’s not a good year to need a quarterback in the draft, and the scouting department will have to show it can find someone in the group who will develop into a franchise guy.

Once they do, they could look to make a big move for Kevin Kolb, Carson Palmer, Kyle Orton, Matt Flynn or any number of veteran options they believe could operate an offense that will remain run-centric keyed around Chris Johnson.
The Colts will head into the 2011 season with a new running backs coach.

Gene Huey, who’s been with the franchise for 19 years, confirmed the news to the Indianapolis Star.

We don’t know what went on behind the scenes here or if other changes are to come.

While the 63-year old Huey helped develop Marshall Faulk, Edgerrin James and Joseph Addai, the run game has too often not served to supplement Peyton Manning and the pass offense.

Donald Brown, the first-rounder from 2008, has not developed into much of a threat. But I felt the Colts got reasonable work out several backs when they were healthy including Addai, Mike Hart and late addition Dominic Rhodes. Those three all averaged at least 4.3 yards a carry.

The line, more than the backs, has been the issue.

Bill Polian conceded this season that the team erred in its assessment of Rodger Saffold, the tackle who was solid for the Rams. The Colts passed on Saffold in favor of defensive end Jerry Hughes, a virtual non-contributor whose effort on a crucial kick return in the Colts' playoff loss to the Jets should be a major concern.

Huey’s been a loyal part of a culture that’s produced great success for the Colts.

It’s a cliché but correct to say that only time will tell us if his departure is part of broader changes that produce results or if he's some sort of sacrificial scapegoat.
On Antonio Cromartie's 47-yard kickoff return Saturday night that helped set up the Jets’ winning drive, Jerry Hughes of the Colts had the first and best opportunity to get the defensive back down.

Hughes could have had Cromartie at the 15-yard line or so, but his effort seemed halfhearted and it didn’t take much for Cromartie to angle a bit more to his right and run right past the first man on kickoff coverage.

The second-best chance at Cromartie was Nate Triplett, who had to dive about four yards later but didn’t even manage to slow the returner.

Would better people have been on the coverage team if the Colts were healthier? Absolutely. But those guys could have made a play and didn’t. Also on the field for the Colts at that point: defensive back Mike Richardson and receiver Taj Smith.

Triplett, Smith and Richardson all became part of the 53-man roster in December.

For Hughes, who showed very little as a rookie first-round defensive end, it’s the most memorable (non-)play of the season and the second most memorable thing about him as a Colt.

The first was Bill Polian’s radio lament about not taking Rodger Saffold, a player the Colts thought was a right tackle who played very well as a left tackle for St. Louis this season.
The Rodger Saffold element of this has already gotten a lot of play, but I waited for the Colts' transcript of Bill Polian’s Monday night radio show to jump in on this.

Polian talked pretty extensively about the issues on the offensive line, and pretty much offered what fans would want from him on some of the issues -- a “my bad” on a poor second-round pick and on the failure to sufficiently address the personnel.

Here are the key pieces of what he said about the line:
“We find that what we're lacking on the offensive line is power and punch. If you said to me that was going to happen, I would have probably said we should have done more in the draft. Despite what was a less-than-stellar performance in the Super Bowl, I thought we would bounce back and be pretty good in terms of the punch department. But we have not been.

“…Inside, the middle three has been disappointing to say the least in terms of getting people off the ball. It makes it tougher to run, then you're in a situation where you have some issues because you have to pass the ball on a rather continual basis. That puts more pressure on the tackles, so if I could have predicted that, probably we should have done a little more with the offensive line, but we didn't, so we're in the situation we're in right now. My hope is that we will play in these next four games basically the way we've played in the last three, which essentially is to outlast the opposition. We've had difficulty at times in the ballgames – and that's particularly true in the running game – but we have gotten better as the game has gone on and the opposition has gotten weaker. That's a characteristic of heart and toughness and mental toughness, and we have all of that…

“With respect to drafting offensive linemen, first of all the responsibility is mine. When we miss on a guy like Tony Ugoh, that's my mistake. And we did miss on him. There's no question about it. He never came on after the knee injury the way we thought he would. That's our mistake, my mistake – no question about it. Mike Pollak and Jamey Richard, I think, are pretty good players. They may be a little miscast as guards. They're probably both centers in the end, when all is said and done. Last year, we had a choice. We could have drafted Rodger Saffold. He was the last offensive lineman that deserved to be picked in the first round. And there was Jerry Hughes. We thought that Roger was going to be a right tackle. Who knows whether he will or won't. We liked the fact that Jerry had special rush ability, so we elected to go on the defensive side of the ball. In hindsight, you can question whether we should have drafted Roger, but that's the way it is. Hindsight is 20-20. It's an area we do need to address. I'm sure we will. That doesn't preclude free agency, either, as we go forward. We'll see what transpires in that area. We certainly do need, particularly at tackle, to address that.”

That may be the biggest element of this, there at the end. I linked earlier today to a Bob Kravitz video in which he suggested Polian has to do what the Broncos did for John Elway late in his career. Build up the run game and the defense and damn the team’s traditional blueprint.

Polian’s said some of this before, but saying the plan going forward “doesn’t preclude free agency” is significant. The Colts may be drafting higher than usual, but it still offers no guarantee about the availability of an offensive lineman that fits.

So he’s on the record saying he will look beyond that.

The biggest name heading toward free agency is New England guard Logan Mankins, and while I am not sure how he’d fit with Indianapolis it’s automatically intriguing because such a signing would also serve to weaken a rival.

Others with significant experience who are not signed for 2011 according to Pro Football Weekly include Baltimore tackles Jared Gaither and Marshal Yanda, Kansas City tackle Ryan O’Callaghan, Atlanta guard Justin Blaylock, New Orleans tackle Jermon Bushrod, Arizona guards Alan Faneca and Deuce Lutui and St. Louis guard Adam Goldberg.

Trouble is, the draft’s ensured before a lockout, but free agency would be pushed back if there is no labor agreement. Potentially, Polian won’t be able to shop the market and then draft but will have to do vice versa.

Hughes fits Colts' DE mold

April, 22, 2010
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Speed off the edge is vital in the Colts' defense.

Dwight Freeney is 30 and Robert Mathis is 29. They are still Pro Bowl caliber players, but there was no next generation behind them. A limited Freeney had a big sack in the Super Bowl, but he didn’t last at full speed the whole game because of an ankle injury, and the Colts ultimately suffered.

With the selection of TCU’s Jerry Hughes 31st overall in the first round, there is now new depth.

Hughes is a speed, edge rusher in the mold of Freeney and Mathis, a player who got in the backfield and disrupted offenses in college and projects to do the same for the Colts.

He’s not going to bounce inside and eat up snaps all over the line as Raheem Brock, let go after the season, did. But the Colts look to be three deep at end and have an eventual successor to one of their stalwarts in hand.

In his last 26 games at TCU, Hughes recorded 26.5 sacks. Those numbers are as impressive as any I’ve read about any of the first-round choices in the AFC South.

The pick addresses a need, but leaves another lingering. The Colts are likely to consider an offensive lineman at No. 63 overall on Friday. Rodger Saffold is rated by many as an ideal fit for what they do.

Might he last? Might they make a move to go get him? And can he or a lineman selected in the second, if that’s the way Bill Polian goes, break through in a way two recent second-rounders on the offensive line haven’t?

If Tony Ugoh or Mike Pollak had evolved into the players the Colts envisioned when spending recent second-round picks on them, they wouldn’t necessarily be in need now.video
Quality reads

The best mock drafter in the biz, Rick Gosselin, offers his predictions.

Why the draft is a national obsession. It’s about hope, says Michael Rosenberg.

A very nice draft guide from Lance Zierlein.

Sigmund Bloom’s draft viewer’s guide.

I talked with Titans Radio about the draft for the rest of the division.

Houston Texans

Rick Smith likes the new draft format, says John McClain.

Matt Schaub and the Texans are looking to raise awareness about concussions with kids, says McClain.

Richard Justice says the Texans need to finish the deal.

The Texans are after character, not characters, says McClain.

McClain’s final mock, with Ryan Mathews to the Texans.

Justice says there is a trade coming.

Eric Winston has a mock draft. Interesting commentary.

Zierlein also has Houston taking Mathews.

Indianapolis Colts

Says Bill Polian: "It's about the entire process, not just the first round. Our focus is actually greater on the lower rounds than it is the first.'' Mike Chappell’s story.

John Oehser sifts through Polian’s talk with the press, which includes this: “But my personal feeling is that contrary to perception this is not a terribly deep offensive line draft. The top guys will go off early, and then it thins out.”

Nuggets from Polian’s press session, from Chappell.

Indy Football Report’s final mock.

A round up of mock picks for the Colts.

A look at Rodger Saffold, from Terry Hutchens.

Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars are keeping everyone guessing, says Vito Stellino.

Gene Smith approaches the draft the right way, says Gene Frenette.

Don’t expect a quarterback, says Stellino.

Mackey Weaver was promoted to senior vice president of marketing and sales as Tim Connolly moves to Green Bay.

The Jags dealt Quentin Groves to Oakland.

Vic Ketchman gives his best-case and worst-case scenarios.

A case study on bad draft strategy, from Jonathan Loesche.

Tennessee Titans

The Titans will figure out how their philosophies fit and work in the new draft format, says Jim Wyatt.

Wyatt evaluates the Titans’ roster and needs.

Tony Brown got a three-year deal, reports Wyatt. Titans fans who constantly say they don’t re-sign anyone, please take note.

If they make a move for Albert Haynesworth, they should do it before No. 16, says Wyatt.

There will be more time to talk trade, write David Boclair.

Ross Tucker gives LenDale White a 20 percent chance of being traded.

Mike Reinfeldt doesn’t have any regrets about the Jared Cook pick, says Wyatt.

The defensive end pool is deep, says Joe Biddle.

Titans Radio’s two-hour draft preview.
They added Adam Terry and Andy Alleman. Bill Polian’s analysis after the Super Bowl included a significant shot to the O-line. Ryan Lilja's agent said when the guard was let go that the Colts said they were looking to go bigger.

We've spent weeks interpreting that as indications that the Colts intend to get bigger on the offensive line.

Then, on Wednesday, he worked to debunk the idea at a session with the Indy press corps. Here is a snippet, courtesy of John Oehser:
“I would say no to that. I've never said that. I don't know of anybody around here who has. We've not deviated one iota from our formula, which is that we need to be athletic. We need to be smart. We need to be physical. I think we have players here who certainly fit that mold. They may not fit the mold of what other people think should be, but they're fine by us. It works OK for us. We've never felt like we need to get bigger or stronger. We're not that kind of a team.”

We’ll find out in the next three days, I suppose. But the primary prospect people are pegging for the Colts, Rodger Saffold from Indiana, isn’t really much bigger than what the team already has.

Saffold is 6-foot-4 and about 315 pounds. Last year’s left tackle, Charlie Johnson, is 6-4 and 305.

Scout survey, part two

April, 20, 2010
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In recent days, I asked two AFC scouts and two guys with scouting backgrounds who are now in the media the same 12 questions.

As we count down to Thursday, here’s the second of four posts with their answers, which are largely a lesson in how many different views there can be on the same subjects. (Check out part one here.)

Segment two focused on matchmaking.

The perfect fit for the Jaguars that you expect to be available at No. 10 is?

Scout A: Rolando McClain or Jason Pierre-Paul

Scout B: Pierre-Paul

Matt Williamson, Scouts Inc.: Honestly, I really don't think that there is such a thing. The Jags are in no-man’s land. But if I had to pick one, I would take Earl Thomas.

Daniel Jeremiah, movethetticks.com: Pierre-Paul

The perfect fit for the Titans that you expect to be available at No. 16 is?

Scout A: Derrick Morgan or Brandon Graham

Scout B: Sergio Kindle

Williamson: Graham

Jeremiah: Graham

The perfect fit for the Texans that you expect to be available at No. 20 is?

Scout A: C.J. Spiller or Thomas

Scout B: Kyle Wilson

Williamson: This is a tough one and they should be very happy with Dan Williams, Thomas, Wilson or Ryan Mathews. But if I only get one, I will also go with Thomas, but I don't love his chances of still being on the board.

Jeremiah: Kareem Jackson

The perfect fit for the Colts that you expect to be available at No. 31 is?

Scout A: Maurkice Pouncey or Jared Odrick

Scout B: Rodger Saffold

Williamson: Saffold

Jeremiah: Pouncey

Three scenarios per team

April, 20, 2010
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The Scouts Inc. crew offers up three scenarios per team and draft slot in this quality read. You’ve got to be an Insider to see it all, but you are lucky because you know me and I am both an Insider and a rebel willing to share the AFC South piece of the puzzle:

Jacksonville, No. 10

Their pick: Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida

Scenario 1: Age and durability along the defensive front are issues even with the arrival of Aaron Kampman, and Pierre-Paul and his upside make sense here. Derrick Morgan also would have to be a consideration.

Scenario 2: Safety is the team's most glaring need and Earl Thomas is worth the pick, but the Jaguars might not want to spend another first-round pick on a free safety after missing on Reggie Nelson.

Scenario 3: This is yet another team that would like to see Spiller fall. He would give Jacksonville the kind of versatile playmaker who could help the Jags keep up with division rivals Indianapolis and Houston.

My thoughts: Pierre-Paul seems like a project to me, and I want more than a project this high when my team needs to win and draw better. Gene Smith has been willing to swallow mistakes that the team has made, so if they judge Nelson one, they won’t be hesitant to take Thomas if they feel he is their best option. Spiller is a playmaker, and they need playmakers. Maurice Jones-Drew and Spiller would be a heck of a one-two punch, but that would be an awful lot of money invested in one spot.

Tennessee, No. 16

Their pick: Brandon Graham, OLB, Michigan

Scenario 1: There is a lot to choose from at the top need positions, but the Titans have had success with undersized ends in the past, and Graham certainly knows how to get to the quarterback.

Scenario 2: If cornerback is the choice, Haden becomes the best available option.

Scenario 3: The Titans could reach to fill their need at defensive tackle, but we do not believe any tackle on the board is worthy of this pick.

My thoughts: Graham has more polish that Pierre-Paul and it’s starting to seem like Graham is more likely to be available. Joe Haden could be a guy who starts in relative short order and would be good in combination with Cortland Finnegan. I think defensive tackle is being overrated as a need here. If there was a great interior pass-rusher, perhaps he’d be intriguing. But the Titans have spent second-round picks in consecutive years on the spot in Jason Jones and Sen'Derrick Marks.

Houston, No. 20

Their pick: Joe Haden, CB, Florida

Scenario 1: The Texans look to a pressing need and take Haden, who is on the board in this scenario.

Scenario 2: Should Haden be taken earlier, Houston likely will choose between cornerbacks Kareem Jackson of Alabama and Kyle Wilson of Boise State, taking whichever player is higher on its board.

Scenario 3: With running back being their top need, the Texans could conceivably look at a prospect like Fresno State's Ryan Mathews, but it seems unlikely given the corners who should be available.

My thoughts: I can’t see Haden lasting this long, especially if he’s the top corner to most teams. A choice between Jackson and Wilson wouldn’t be bad. I think either would be the team’s best corner in short order. Mathews could really round out the offense, especially if there is a quality interior lineman later to block for him.

Indianapolis, No. 31

Their pick: Tyson Alualu, DT, California

Scenario 1: With no offensive tackle worth the pick on the board, the Colts opt for a defensive tackle who fits their quick, penetrating style on that side of the ball.

Scenario 2: In an ideal world Indianapolis sees a tackle like Charles Brown or Rodger Saffold fall to this point.

Scenario 3: A pass-rusher is not a pressing need, but if someone like Sergio Kindle or Brandon Graham drops, then he would be a value pick to fill what will be a need in the near future.

My thoughts: Their top scenario could happen, but I think they are a little happier with their interior defensive line than people think, especially if they like the progress of last year’s No. 2, Fili Moala. Saffold seems like a real possibility. I could definitely see them looking to a pass-rusher. With Raheem Brock gone and an injury to Dwight Freeney hurting them so much in the Super Bowl, I say it’s more pressing than these guys suggest.
The fine folks at ESPN Stats & Information provided predraft reminders of some sore spot issues. Here’s my take on their info, with what these numbers could prompt each team to do to address them in the first round:

Jaguars, No. 10 overall

Problem: The Jaguars sacked the quarterback just seven times when sending four or fewer rushers in 2009, the fewest in the without an extra rusher.

Potential solution: End Derrick Morgan would be a nice piece to go with Aaron Kampman and Derrick Harvey as the Jaguars look to be more threatening.

Problem: The Jags allowed one sack for every 11.9 pass attempts against four or fewer rushers in 2009, the third worst rate in the league.

Potential solutions: Guard Mike Iupati might be a bit high here and would come a year after the Jaguars spent their first and second picks on offensive tackles. Center Maurkice Pouncey could be had a bit later in a trade down and would be an upgrade over Brad Meester.

Titans, No. 16 overall

Problem: Tennessee allowed 4.5 yards per rush on attempts in the middle of the field, the second-highest average in the league.

Potential solution: Linebacker Rolando McClain. But I see them counting on better play from interior linemen and the continued growth of middle linebacker Stephen Tulloch.

Problem: The Titans allowed opponents to complete 31 of their 64 attempts of 21 or more yards downfield in 2009 -- the most completions allowed on attempts over 20 yards in the NFL.

Potential solutions: Cornerbacks Kyle Wilson or Patrick Robinson could start at some point in 2010 opposite Cortland Finnegan.

Texans, 20th overall

Problem: Houston recorded just 12 sacks with four or fewer rushers in 2009, tied for the second fewest in the NFL. When sending four or fewer defenders after the quarterback, the Texans recorded one sack for every 32.3 pass attempts.

Potential solutions: They are thinking pass rushing tackle, not an end. But 20 may be too high for Jared Odrick or Brian Price considering other needs and possibilities. They drafted defensive linemen first in 2005, 2006 and 2007, so this problem is especially frustrating.

Problem: With eight or more defenders in the box last season, Steve Slaton averaged just 1.86 yards per attempt -- the fourth lowest average in the league.

Potential solution: Running back C.J. Spiller won’t last, but Ryan Mathews sure looks like a guy that can get some yards even against a stacked line.

Colts, No. 31

Problem: Indy gained an average of 3.9 yards per rush against seven or fewer defenders in the box last season, worst in the NFL.

Potential solutions: They are looking to work on the blocking, not the backs. Which points to Pouncey or maybe Rodger Saffold

Problem: Nearly 14 percent of the touchdowns the Colts' defense allowed last season were against four-wide sets, the highest percentage in the league.

Potential solutions: Add a healthy Bob Sanders and Kelvin Hayden to the secondary and put Melvin Bullitt and Jacob Lacey in nickel and dime situations and things should be a lot better. Though if they like a corner at the end of the first, I don’t think they’d hesitate to take him.
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