AFC West: Adiran Peterson

AFC West wrap: What was and will be

December, 27, 2012
NFC Season Wraps: East | West | North | South AFC: East | West | North | South

Five things to know and my all-division team.

Division MVP: This is not difficult: Denver quarterback Peyton Manning. There is a strong chance Manning will win his fifth NFL MVP award in his first season with Denver. His biggest competition is likely Minnesota running back Adrian Peterson. Manning has far surpassed expectations with the Broncos. Manning, 36, has not shown any signs of slowing after enduring a neck injury that kept him from playing all of last season with the Colts. He has spearheaded a 10-game win streak for the Broncos, who are 12-3 and have a chance to be the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoffs. Manning has gotten better as the season has progressed, and he's having one of his best seasons in the NFL. This was a franchise-changing signing.

[+] EnlargePeyton Manning
Jonathan Daniel/Getty ImagesHe might appear calm under center, but Broncos QB Peyton Manning admitted that he'll be a bit nervous before Thursday night's season opener.
Biggest disappointment: It has to be Kansas City. The Chiefs were expected to be competitive and many folks (including myself) picked them to win the division. Yet Kansas City is 2-13 and on pace for the No. 1 pick in April's draft. The biggest issues were terrible quarterback play by Matt Cassel and his replacement, Brady Quinn, and questionable coaching. The result of the disappointment will likely be a clean sweep of the team’s brass and the search for a new quarterback.

Coaching searches about to commence: We all expected the Chargers to give the gate to coach Norv Turner and general manager A.J. Smith last year. Now that San Diego will miss the playoffs for the third straight year, both Turner and Smith are expected to be gone. And in the division, they may not be alone. Chances are strong Kansas City general manager Scot Pioli and coach Romeo Crennel will both pay for the Chiefs’ failures with their jobs. While Dennis Allen is probably safe in Oakland, there are no guarantees, and there could be big changes in store to his staff. So, January will be a busy month in the AFC West with at least half the division undertaking huge leadership makeovers.

Rivers has to be focus in San Diego: Philip Rivers, who turned 31 this month, is ending his second straight disappointing season and is no longer considered an elite quarterback. Still, he must be the centerpiece of the changes in San Diego. Rivers still has several years left and he can still help the Chargers win. But he needs help, and the new San Diego leadership must make it a priority to build around Rivers in an attempt to fix him and utilize him moving forward.

Help is on the way: The Broncos have won 12 games and the three other teams in the division have won 12 games ... combined. But there will be a payoff in the draft. The Chiefs are in line for the No. 1 pick, the Raiders are angling for the No. 3 pick and the Chargers are on pace to select 10th. Thus the draft season will be of supreme importance for this division. The Chiefs need a quarterback, but there are no top choices, so Kansas City may have to take a defensive gem in a top-heavy defensive class. Oakland has big defensive needs and will score a top defensive player, and the Chargers will be on the hunt for offensive line help early on. Expect us to heavily focus on the April draft in the coming months since no division in the NFL will be better represented at the top of the draft.

And now we present our 2012 AFC West team. A few notes before we get to the list.

I used a 3-4 defense because half of the division (Kansas City and San Diego) uses it as a base defense and I thought the linebackers were stronger, so I wanted to recognize four of them. This list features the best players at the position, so I used two left tackles instead of forcing a right tackle, etc. I did use a fullback, Oakland’s Marcel Reece, because I thought he was deserving of recognition.

The 26-man team features 13 Broncos. Excessive? Well, considering the 12-3 Broncos have accounted for half of the AFC West’s wins this season, it is fitting.

On to the list. I’m sure you’ll have a lot to say in the comments section below.

Final Word: AFC West

November, 18, 2011
NFC Final Word: East | West | North | South AFC: East | West | North | South

Five nuggets of knowledge about Week 11:

[+] EnlargeKevin Boss
Ric Tapia/Icon SMIKevin Boss has not made much of an impact in the Raiders' offense this season.
The Oakland Raiders need to use the tight end more: With new Oakland starting quarterback Carson Palmer getting more comfortable, it will be interesting to see if the Raiders start utilizing their tight ends. Kevin Boss has been targeted just 11 times this season, according to ESPN Stats & Information. However, Boss has caught 10 passes for 192 yards. He caught a huge pass from Palmer in a Week 10 win at San Diego in the fourth quarter. Boss has been slowed by injuries at some points of the season and he barely played in the Week 9 loss to Denver. Former starter Jason Campbell liked using the tight ends before he was hurt.

The Kansas City Chiefs will have to adjust to the left: In addition to getting used to a new quarterback Monday night at New England, the Chiefs must get used to a different spin of the ball. With starter Matt Cassel likely out for the rest of the season with a hand injury that will require surgery, the Chiefs are turning to Tyler Palko. He is left-handed, which is fairly rare in the NFL. In the offseason, Kansas City coach Todd Haley told me he was excited to pair Palko with new quarterbacks coach Jim Zorn, who was a successful lefty quarterback. I did a story on left-handed quarterbacks in 2010 shortly after Denver drafted lefty Tim Tebow. Many people who have experience being in a left-hander-led offense said there is an adjustment period, but it is not impossible to get used to.

Will Philip Rivers' problems finally end? It seems every week, there is new statistical evidence about Rivers' less-than-stellar 2011 season. According to ESPN Stats and Information, he has completed 44.7 of his passes in the red zone. That is the sixth worst percentage in the NFL. Rivers has 24 underthrown incompletions this season, and six of them have been intercepted. He had a total of 40 of those passes last year with just two interceptions.

Raiders can’t let Peterson run all day: The 5-4 Raiders should be able to stay in first place after Week 11 as they are favored over the Vikings. However, the Vikings can stay in the game if star running back Adrian Peterson can establish an attack. He is having another strong season and has 846 yards while averaging 4.7 yards per carry. He also has 10 rushing touchdowns. Oakland has been vulnerable against the run this season and have allowed way too many big run plays. The Raiders are ranked 25th in the league against the run.

Bad memories for Brady: This is the first time New England quarterback Tom Brady will face the Chiefs since he was lost for the season on opening day of 2008. Brady was shelved for the season on a hit by former Kansas City safety Bernard Pollard. The hit would end up affecting the Chiefs as well. Cassel, Brady’s backup, went on to have a good season as Brady’s replacement. After the season, the Chiefs hired New England executive Scott Pioli, who made trading for Cassel his first major priority in Kansas City.