AFC West: Ashley Fox

Fox: Chiefs are on Luck(y) pace

September, 28, 2011
9/28/11
5:20
PM ET
Indianapolis, Kansas City, Minnesota, St. Louis and Miami are all 0-3.

Thus, the race for the No. 1 overall draft pick and for the right to take Stanford quarterback Andrew Luck in on. The chase for No. 1 hasn’t been as closely followed in recent years as it is now because Luck is considered a rare prospect.

So, this will be a topic all season. In fact, Wednesday, it is the Hot Button topic on ESPN.com. There is an AFC West angle -- a big one. Columnist Ashley Fox thinks the Chiefs will end up with the pick and with Luck. John Clayton thinks Miami will be the winner after being the big loser.

Here are some of Fox’s thoughts on why she thinks Kansas City will have the worst record in the NFL this year: Instead of building on their 10-6 season of a year ago, the Chiefs have regressed. Given general manager Scott Pioli's conservative approach to free agency and the loss of three starters to season-ending knee injuries already, it is unlikely that their outlook is going to change. Jamaal Charles, the NFL's second-leading rusher in 2010 with 1,467 yards, isn't coming back. Neither are tight end Tony Moeaki and safety Eric Berry.

Those losses would be tough for any team to overcome, but they are particularly tough for the Chiefs, who lack depth and need upgrades across the board.

And that schedule? It is getting easier for the next few weeks with the winless Minnesota Vikings and Indianapolis Colts up next followed by a bye. But mid-November to mid-December looks like this: at New England, Pittsburgh, at Chicago, at the New York Jets and Green Bay at home. Given how the Chiefs have struggled to move the ball, there is not a winnable game in that bunch.

My thoughts? Yes, I think the Chiefs could stay in the Luck conversation for a long time. We’ll find out a lot about them after the next two games. If the Chiefs lose both of those games, the Luck Watch will have be on full alert.

Meanwhile, Oliver Luck, the father of Stanford quarterback Andrew Luck, has a history with the Chiefs, so if his son ends up there, he might be comfortable with it.

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