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Tuesday, February 4, 2014
Revisiting my (bad) preseason predictions

By Jamison Hensley

Here's a disclaimer to all those who don't know my prognosticator skills: I stink.

Before the 2012 season, I was the one ESPN.com blogger who didn't have the Baltimore Ravens going to the playoffs. You know, the year the Ravens won it all.

I kept up my stellar track record in 2013, as you can see by the accompanying chart. I correctly predicted half of the division winners and half of the playoff field. To my credit, I am consistent.

In the Super Bowl, I had the Broncos (yes!) against the Falcons (ugh). Of course, I had the Falcons hoisting up the Vince Lombardi Trophy in a season when they went 4-12. I should get credit for having a bird mascot winning the Super Bowl, right?

For the awards, I really went out on the limb with Peyton Manning for MVP but I just missed on coach of the year with Andy Reid, who did turn a two-win Chiefs team into a playoff team. I whiffed on the offensive rookie of the year by going with Baltimore native Tavon Austin. My pick for defensive rookie of the year was much better with the Detroit Lions' Ziggy Ansah, who somehow didn't receive one vote despite leading all rookies with eight sacks.

Before you can ridicule me even more, I do want to point out that my weekly predictions were quite good. In picking Ravens games each week, I went 12-4, which was tops among the ESPN experts. The four games I missed on were at the Buffalo Bills, at the Pittsburgh Steelers, at the Cleveland Browns and home against the New England Patriots.

Here are the others' records for picking Ravens games: Mike Golic (10-6), Ron Jaworski (10-6), Adam Schefter (9-7), Mark Schlereth (9-7), KC Joyner (9-7), Chris Mortensen (8-8), Merril Hoge (8-8), Seth Wickersham (8-8), Tom Jackson (8-8), Keyshawn Johnson (8-8), Cris Carter (7-8), Mike Ditka (7-9) and Eric Allen (7-9).