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Breaking down Big 12 bowl odds: Missouri

11/16/2011

Inspired by our friends over at the Big East Blog, it's time to forecast the bowl picture across the Big 12. Five Big 12 teams are already bowl eligible. Four more teams are stuck on five wins entering Week 12, and we'll break down each fringe team's chances to make it to the postseason.

First up: Missouri.

Record: 5-5

Wins: Miami (OH), Western Illinois, Iowa State, Texas A&M, Texas

Losses: Arizona State, Oklahoma, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Baylor

Remaining schedule

  • Nov. 19: vs. Texas Tech

  • Nov. 26: vs. Kansas (at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo.)

Breakdown: The Tigers have five solid losses, but Arizona State is really the only game Mizzou probably feels it should have won. They were competitive late in losses to Kansas State and Baylor, but were outplayed in both losses. The good news for Mizzou is Texas Tech's collapse is coming at an ideal time, and the Tigers' best asset -- their running game -- plays into Texas Tech's biggest weakness.

Mizzou must deal with the loss of leading rusher Henry Josey, but the schedule eases up at an ideal time for Kendial Lawrence and De'Vion Moore to pick up the slack. Quarterback James Franklin will also get a solid chance to pick up yards on the ground, as well as make plays through the air. Missouri's defense had its best performance of the year against Texas last week, and they'll try to build on it this week against a Tech team that's lost five of its last six games.

If the Tigers take care of business, they'll likely get a Kansas team looking for its first conference win. Missouri's likely going to be a double-digit favorite in both games, so don't be surprised to see Mizzou at 7-5 by the end of the regular season.

Chances the Tigers qualify for a bowl: 75 percent