Breaking down bowl odds: Texas A&M

Inspired by our friends over at the Big East Blog, it's time to forecast the bowl picture across the Big 12. Five Big 12 teams are already bowl eligible. Four more teams are stuck on five wins entering Week 12, and we'll break down each fringe team's chances to make it to the postseason.

More bowl odds:

Next up: Texas A&M

Record: 5-5

Wins: SMU, Idaho, Texas Tech, Baylor, Iowa State

Losses: Oklahoma State, Arkansas, Missouri, Oklahoma, Kansas State

Remaining schedule

  • Nov. 19: vs. Kansas

  • Nov. 24: vs. Texas

Breakdown: Ouch, Aggies. Did anyone expect the calendar to reach mid-November before Texas A&M reach bowl eligibility? I certainly didn't. The Aggies have lost three consecutive games, but look likely to qualify for the postseason on Saturday when they host Kansas, which has lost 21 of its past 22 Big 12 games.

Texas A&M could easily be 9-1, but here it sits at 5-5. Kansas awaits Saturday, followed by a bad-blooded finale against Texas in College Station on Thanksgiving night. That one looks like a toss-up, but it'll be even more intense if the Aggies somehow lose on Saturday. Last season, A&M delivered the final blow that kept the Longhorns out of the postseason. This time, Texas could get that opportunity.

Four of Texas A&M's five losses have come to ranked teams, and it has just one win over a ranked team (Baylor). The Aggies have fallen from a preseason top 10 team to among the unranked schools scrambling for a bowl. Meanwhile the Longhorns have risen into the top 25 with a few nice wins after double-digit losses to Oklahoma and Oklahoma State.

We'll see if Texas A&M gets the win on Saturday as it should, but if not, next week's showdown with Texas, which could be the last in a long time, will heat up to epic levels.

Chances the Aggies qualify for a bowl: 84 percent