Could TCU be a BCS title contender?

May, 25, 2012
5/25/12
10:30
AM ET
The next in our series looking at 20 teams who could win it all in 2012 examines TCU.

Colleague Ryan McGee tackled the Frogs (always a treacherous task) and tried to determine their chances.

The biggest reason TCU could win it all? An elite passing game and running game.
[Casey] Pachall returns along with his three top receivers from one year ago -- Josh Boyce, Skye Dawson and Brandon Carter. They are battle-scarred from a season that included more than a few offensive track meets. In other words, this passing game has a chance to be scary good. And they won't get gassed during Big 12 shootouts. ...

If for some reason throwing the ball gets bogged down, then the Frogs' running attack should be more than capable of shouldering the load. TCU is the only team in the nation to return three backs who rushed for 700 yards in 2011.

The biggest reason TCU won't win it all? The defensive backfield and a welcome to the Big 12.
Five of the nation's seven most prolific passing attacks from 2011 are on the Horned Frogs' schedule in 2012, including four in consecutive weeks from October 13 through November 3 (at Baylor, versus Texas Tech, at Oklahoma State, at West Virginia). TCU's pass D better be much improved, or have an offense capable of winning every shootout, if it hopes to survive that stretch.

Want more on the Frogs? Check out the piece. You'll also see a stat projection from Football Outsiders' Brian Fremeau, including the most likely result and the projection window for the best- and worst-case scenario.

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