Downfield success key for Pachall in 2013
June, 27, 2013
By Sharon Katz | ESPN.com
Sarah Glenn/Getty ImagesCasey Pachall will try to replicate his success from 2011 and lead TCU to another 10-win season.
In preparation for the 2013 season, ESPN Stats & Info will take a deeper look at the top quarterbacks entering the fall. Thursday we take a look at TCU’s Casey Pachall.
A Look Back at 2011 & 2012
Casey Pachall begins the 2013 season somewhat off the radar after missing the final nine games of last year, but over the last two seasons he has been one of the top quarterbacks in the nation when he’s played.
Pachall has completed 66 percent of his passes with 36 touchdowns and eight interceptions in his career, and his opponent-adjusted Total QBR -- a metric that ESPN will unveil this fall -- ranks among the top 15 percent of all qualified quarterbacks since 2004.
More importantly, Pachall has a 15-2 record as a starter and TCU’s average margin of victory in those games is 20.6 points.
Before a trip to rehab ended his 2012 season in October, Pachall was leading the nation in pass efficiency and had the Horned Frogs unbeaten at 4-0 and, perhaps, on their way to a fifth-straight 10-win season.
During those four games, Pachall proved that he can throw downfield effectively. He completed two-thirds of his passes thrown at least 15 yards beyond the line of scrimmage last season, which led all quarterbacks from BCS-AQ schools with at least 50 attempts.
What’s Ahead for 2013?
The first step for Pachall is to win the starting job from sophomore Trevone Boykin, who is listed as a co-starter on the end of spring depth chart.
Most believe Pachall will be named the starter in August, which leads to his next challenge, re-establishing a connection with his receivers.
TCU lost its leading receiver, Josh Boyce, to the NFL but returns its No. 2 receiver, Brandon Carter. Over the last two seasons, Pachall has completed 70 percent of his passes with seven touchdowns and no interceptions when targeting Carter.
Another question mark for Pachall heading into the 2013 season is whether he can handle the tougher competition in the Big 12, as he played in only one conference game last season.
The Big 12 is not known for its defensive prowess, but TCU struggled offensively in its first year in the conference, primarily with Boykin under center.
Obviously, a large portion of TCU’s struggles were a result of injuries and suspensions, but Pachall, who has faced just three BCS-AQ opponents in his career, must be the catalyst for TCU to step up to the level of improved competition.
If Pachall can re-establish his touch and quickly adapt to the pace of play in the Big 12, there is no reason he can't replicate his 2011 success and lead the Horned Frogs to their ninth 10-win season under head coach Gary Patterson.
BIG 12 SCOREBOARD
Final Central Michigan 48 Western Kentucky 49 Final Fresno State 6 Rice 30
Final Nevada 3 Louisiana-Lafayette 16 Final Utah State 21 UTEP 6 Final 22 Utah 45 Colorado State 10 Final Western Michigan 24 Air Force 38 Final South Alabama 28 Bowling Green 33
Final Marshall 52 Northern Illinois 23 Final Navy 17 San Diego State 16
1:00 PM ET Illinois Louisiana Tech 4:30 PM ET Rutgers North Carolina 8:00 PM ET North Carolina State UCF
1:00 PM ET Cincinnati Virginia Tech 2:00 PM ET 15 Arizona State Duke 3:30 PM ET Miami (FL) South Carolina 4:30 PM ET Boston College Penn State 8:00 PM ET Nebraska 24 USC
2:00 PM ET Texas A&M West Virginia 5:30 PM ET Oklahoma 17 Clemson 9:00 PM ET Arkansas Texas
3:00 PM ET Notre Dame 23 LSU 6:30 PM ET 13 Georgia 21 Louisville 10:00 PM ET Maryland Stanford
12:30 PM ET 9 Ole Miss 6 TCU 4:00 PM ET 20 Boise State 10 Arizona 8:00 PM ET 7 Mississippi State 12 Georgia Tech
12:00 PM ET 19 Auburn 18 Wisconsin 12:30 PM ET 8 Michigan State 5 Baylor 1:00 PM ET 16 Missouri 25 Minnesota 5:00 PM ET 2 Oregon 3 Florida State 8:30 PM ET 1 Alabama 4 Ohio State
12:00 PM ET Houston Pittsburgh 3:20 PM ET Iowa Tennessee 6:45 PM ET 11 Kansas State 14 UCLA 10:15 PM ET Washington Oklahoma State