Tuesday, February 7, 2012
Chat: Spiraling Horns, KSU, OU title?
By ESPN.com staff
Thanks for all the questions in today's chat. It was smiles times for sure.
Here's the full transcript. If I didn't get to you, send something better to my mailbag.
Now, time for a few highlights.
mike (WV): Best QB in B12 next season including WVU? Can Gino Win the H? And, is TX on a downward spirl? So much success and they really looked bad last year. TX record this year?
David Ubben: A lot of questions in there, Mike. I'll hit on them all quick. Yeah, it's possible for Geno Smith to win the Heisman. He's definitely a dark horse, but WVU is good enough to win now, and good enough to win 11-12 games next year. That would put him on the short list as long as he's putting up big numbers. No, Texas isn't on a downward spiral. I'd say they got lazy in recruiting evaluation offensively and it's set them back. The Longhorns are on the way back, though. I'll take nine wins for Texas next year.
Chris (Manhattan, KS): Oh Sage of the Midwestern Gridiron, what position for K-State should we keep our eyes on during spring camp? And When will we officially know who our new D-coordinator is?
David Ubben: Definitely the offensive line. That's the biggest concern with the amount of talent lost from last year's team. Collin Klein is tough and all, but he's not all that elusive. He's tough to bring down, but if there aren't any holes or 2-3 guys are in the backfield all the time, he's going to look pretty bad next year. As for the D-coordinator, that's on Bill Snyder's schedule now.
Bobby (Joplin Mo): David, have you any idea what the exit fees are going to be for my Tigers and aTm as well?
David Ubben: I'd expect them to be a good chunk higher than Nebraska and Colorado, but still nowhere near the $30-some million that the Big 12 bylaws require.
Dave (DC): One of top pairs of football mantras is defense wins championships and you have to run the ball -- Texas' defense will be the leader in both at the gate. I think I saw you too early power rankings with Texas at 6 -- is this is the Big 12 team with the most upside?
David Ubben: Yeah, probably. Generally, that's true, Dave, but in the Big 12, the importance of the QB outweighs everything. That's Texas' biggest obvious weakness. To me, the Longhorns look like a national title contender if they had a QB that was above average or better. They don't. They have the worst QBs in the Big 12 right now. As such, they're a borderline top 20 team heading into next year. Development will be huge, and specifically at that position.
Andrew (Aggieland): What do you think about the Big XII schools blacklisting A&M?
David Ubben: I mean ... I get it. I think it's nothing more than petty, but I get it. From the institutional perspective, I can see why they want to do it. From a fan of the game's perspective, I hate, hate, hate it. What's the point of college football if games like Texas A&M-Texas and Mizzou-Kansas aren't being played?
John (Mass): K-State was able to win 10 games without elite play from the QB. Alabama and LSU played for a national championship without elite QB play. Texas has a great defense, why can't they return to 10-win form?
David Ubben: K-State strung together an unbelievable run of late-game execution. In most scenarios, K-State wins eight games last year. The SEC, if you hadn't noticed, is a much, much different league than the Big 12. Find me the last Big 12 champion who won it without, at least, above average QB play. Paul Thompson maybe?
Tony (Richmond, CA): With Metoyer being able to participate in spring ball does that make him the odds on favorite to step in and have the most immediate impact of the incoming receiver group? Also, given the little bit of uncertainty with Reynolds, and other potential injury, does Stoops need two of these stud receivers to produce consistently on the outside next season?
David Ubben: Yeah, I'd agree with that, Tony. It's pretty simple. We saw Kenny Stills do the same thing before the 2010 season. Looked like a stud in the spring. Delivered in the fall. Transitioning to a No. 1 guy was tough for him at the end of the year, but he's got tons of talent. The offseason could eliminate those struggles. OU needs one of those guys to ascend to elite status.
Ryan (Houston): Once Doege is gone Michael Brewer will take the reigns and from what i've seen in practice last year might be one of the best QB's Tech ever has had. I know that saying a lot but there is a reason *two* backup qb's have left
David Ubben: That could be possible. Spent some time with Neal Brown last week and he was fired up about Brewer. Hopes are obviously high for Doege this year, though. The staff felt he played well (excluding the OSU, ISU losses) last year, but just had to shoulder too much of the responsibility for trying to win games after Eric Stephens' injury and the defense's struggles.
Kyle (Norman): Bold Prediction: WVU, TCU, and Tech will all beat OU and again leaving the Sooners disappointed. (I've already mentally prepared for this happening)
David Ubben: I wouldn't be so sure. OU is kind of fascinating this year. There was so much hype in 2011. There's no doubt it was a distraction. But this year? OU's probably talented enough to win the whole shebangabang, but they don't have the pressure of a preseason No. 1 or crazy "National Title or Bust!" expectations. Could that pay off? Remember, the Sooners came from nowhere to win the national title in 2000, too.
Rich (JAX, FL): Ubbs, I've been reading your board now for the past few weeks and I have to say, I like your style. That being said, do you think a one loss WVU team is a legit NC contender, provided that, with one loss, they are the best in the B12 and win the conference? Or do you still see their status as former BE conference member hindering them in anyway?
David Ubben: Nah, I don't think anyone cares about them coming from the Big East. The Big 12 will be a solid league. A one-loss team, barring two undefeateds or a terrible loss and circumstances like this year, should be in the title game.