Tuesday, August 14, 2012
Texas recruiting checkup for Big 12 expats
By David Ubben
When Nebraska and Missouri announced their intentions to leave the Big 12, I predicted both would have to give up their recruiting pipelines as the price for exiting the league.
It won't happen all at once, and may never entirely dry up, but the truth was, neither team would be able to draw out as much talent from the state when they left.
I never believed that would be the case with Texas A&M, with its campus obviously inside the state, though I do believe Texas A&M's recruiting will take a hit if the Aggies don't win consistently in the SEC West, and I don't believe they will over the long term.
Colorado never established a consistent pipeline in Texas, so tracking the Buffs is a little pointless.
We've talked about this issue before, but it's time to check up on how it's looking for both teams.
It's important to note: with the change in conferences comes a shift in focus. Nebraska is looking deeper and recruiting harder in Ohio since leaving for the Big Ten. Missouri is taking some of its focus out of Texas and into Atlanta and Florida.
That said, do those shifts in focus not indicate an admission on the part of the coaches that recruiting Texas will have to change? At the same time, coaches want to take advantage of their newfound exposure in new territories. It's certainly a heated debate and a complex issue.
Regardless, here's what the numbers tell us.
Nebraska (left Big 12 after 2010 season)
Missouri (left Big 12 after 2011 season)
- 2006: One of 25 signees from Texas
- 2007: Seven of 28 signees from Texas
- 2008: Nine of 27 signees from Texas
- 2009: Eight of 21 signees from Texas
- 2010: Five of 22 signees from Texas
- 2011: Five of 20 signees from Texas (class' three best prospects)
- 2012: Two of 17 signees from Texas
- 2013: Zero of 14 commits
- 2006: 10 of 25 signees from Texas
- 2007: Five of 27 signees from Texas
- 2008: 12 of 24 signees from Texas
- 2009: Seven of 25 signees from Texas
- 2010: Nine of 23 signees from Texas
- 2011: Nine of 17 signees from Texas
- 2012: Eight of 20 signees from Texas
- 2013: Two of 14 commits from Texas
The numbers tell a pretty clear story thus far. It's still early, but the biggest question left now? Can the rest of the Big 12 teams take advantage? West Virginia, TCU, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech and Baylor probably have the most to gain as Texans who may have gone to Missouri or Nebraska choose to go elsewhere.
The sample size since both teams left is small, but the trend clearly skews toward fewer players from Texas playing for former Big 12 teams that now will almost never play in Texas.