Thursday, October 11, 2012
Big 12 predictions: Week 7
By David Ubben
Should be another fun-filled week of Big 12 football. I'm headed to Lubbock, Texas, to see Texas Tech and West Virginia tussle, but our team sites, SoonerNation and HornsNation, will take care of you when it comes to coverage of Saturday's Red River Rivalry game. If you haven't checked them out, do it to it, friends.
For the first time all season, all 10 Big 12 teams are in action. Let's get to the picks!
Last week: 2-2
Overall: 31-7 (.816)
No. 6 Kansas State 21, Iowa State 20: Another year, another nailbiter. Kansas State has made a living by winning these games the past couple of years, and you can make it 10-1 in the Wildcats' past 11 games decided by one possession. Collin Klein needs a few first downs to ice the game late, and he gets them. This one will be plenty physical, but I couldn't bring myself to pick the Cyclones, who'll put up a good fight but come up just short at home.
No. 15 Texas 31, No. 13 Oklahoma 27: This was my toughest pick of the week, and I'll have a video later with more on the game. Still, I think Texas' defense forces Landry Jones into a costly mistake or two and Oklahoma can't stop the Longhorns' physical running game. Huge Red River debut for Johnathan Gray, whose breakout game helps the Longhorns end Oklahoma's two-game winning streak in the rivalry game.
Oklahoma State 51, Kansas 21: No contest here, and I really don't care who's starting at quarterback for Oklahoma State. KU doesn't have the firepower to hang with any of these spread offenses and doesn't have the defensive personnel to slow them down enough to make it a game. Unless OSU battles penalties and turnovers like the Cowboys did against Arizona the last time they went on the road, this one won't be close.
No. 5 West Virginia 42, Texas Tech 34: West Virginia has to be careful with this one. Texas Tech is a better team than it looked last week against Oklahoma. Things could get a little uncomfortable for the Mountaineers, whom I almost put on upset alert, but Tech doesn't have the personnel in the secondary to cover Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey. The defensive line will play well and slow the running game, but Geno Smith and his partners in aerial crime will get the job done.
Baylor 44, TCU 27: TCU might be in for some lean times ahead without an experienced quarterback -- nothing calms a team more and allows for consistent offensive play. Trevone Boykin will make a few big plays but will make a few more big mistakes, while Baylor's offense simply does what Baylor's offense does: put up points in bunches in just about every way an offense can put up points.