Big 12: 2010 bowl countdown

Poll update, final Big 12 bowl projections

December, 5, 2010
12/05/10
2:15
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Here's how the Big 12 sits in the final polls before bowl season:

ESPN/USA Today (coaches)

T-8. Oklahoma

13. Oklahoma State

14. Missouri

16. Nebraska

17. Texas A&M

Associated Press (media)

9. Oklahoma

14. Missouri

16. Oklahoma State

17. Nebraska

18. Texas A&M

We're not doing any formal bowl projections, per se, but here's how I see it shaking out for the Big 12:

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma vs. BCS

AT&T Cotton Bowl: Texas A&M vs. SEC

Valero Alamo Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Pac-10

Insight Bowl: Nebraska vs. Big Ten

Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: Missouri vs. Pac-10

Texas Bowl: Baylor vs. Big Ten

New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Kansas State vs. Big East

TicketCity Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Big Ten

Big 12 bowl projections: Week 13

November, 28, 2010
11/28/10
8:30
PM ET
The top is mostly settled. The Big 12 champion will go to the Fiesta Bowl, of course, and the Big 12 also has a chance -- albeit a very, very slim one -- to nab a second BCS bid.

The bottom of the bowl projections are mostly settled after Texas Tech and Kansas State took care of business in nonconference games to close the season.

But, oh, that dastardly muddled middle. The loser of the Big 12 title game won't be headed back to Cowboys Stadium five weeks later, but the manner in which it loses will probably have at least some effect on how far it falls. Texas A&M will almost certainly land in the Cotton Bowl, but no order of the next three bowls would surprise me. Very little is settled, and some is dependent on what happens in Dallas next weekend.

And to close matters, there are 70 bowl-eligible teams, so Texas is in the clear to clean out its lockers. No 5-7 teams will be bowling this year.

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma vs. BCS

AT&T Cotton Bowl: Texas A&M vs. SEC

Valero Alamo Bowl: Nebraska vs. Pac-10

Insight Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Big Ten

Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: Missouri vs. Pac-10

Texas Bowl: Baylor vs. Big Ten

New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Kansas State vs. Big East

TicketCity Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Big Ten

Big 12 bowl projections: Week 13

November, 21, 2010
11/21/10
6:00
PM ET
Texas A&M makes a jump this week, but Colorado's win over Kansas State is the other big headline on the bowl front for the Big 12. Thanks to the Buffs' win, Kansas is now the only team in the Big 12 who won't get at least a chance to play for a bowl game. Texas Tech and Iowa State got theirs on Saturday, and the Red Raiders joined the ranks of the bowl-eligible with a win over Weber State.

Next weekend, Colorado and Texas will play as underdogs with five wins, hoping to keep their seasons alive against Nebraska and Texas A&M, respectively.

The Aggies jump is on the strength of their five-game winning streak, which has featured two wins over top 10 teams. That, plus their proximity and wide alumni base in Dallas, make them a more attractive option to the Cotton Bowl than two-loss teams Nebraska or Missouri, even with three losses. A loss to Oklahoma State in the Big 12 title game would give Nebraska three losses, as well.

Of course, just like every week, teams can throw a wrench into all of this. Colorado, Texas and Oklahoma will have a chance to shake things up next week.

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. BCS

AT&T Cotton Bowl: Texas A&M vs. SEC

Valero Alamo Bowl: Nebraska vs. Pac-10

Insight Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Big Ten

Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: Missouri vs. Pac-10

Texas Bowl: Baylor vs. Big Ten

New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Kansas State vs. Big East

TicketCity Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Big Ten

Big 12 bowl projections: Week 12

November, 14, 2010
11/14/10
8:30
PM ET
The only big news for the Big 12 when it comes to bowls this week was Iowa State's loss. The Cyclones were set up to earn a sixth win, but ran into a motivated Colorado team that played its best game since a win over Georgia in nonconference play. (By the way, looking back, how did that happen? Georgia gave Auburn a good run at Auburn on Saturday.)

That means that barring an upset by the Cyclones over Missouri on Saturday and Texas wins over Florida Atlantic and Texas A&M, the Big 12 will only have eight bowl-eligible teams.

Worse for Iowa State is losing Austen Arnaud, a three-year starter at quarterback who'll miss his final game in Ames as a Cyclone, and make it harder for Iowa State to pull the upset of the Tigers.

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Nebraska vs. BCS

AT&T Cotton Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. SEC

Valero Alamo Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Pac-10

Insight Bowl: Missouri vs. Big Ten

Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: Texas A&M vs. Pac-10

Texas Bowl: Baylor vs. Big Ten

New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Kansas State vs. Big East

TicketCity Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Big Ten

Big 12 bowl projections

November, 7, 2010
11/07/10
8:30
PM ET
I've had the Big 12 with a pair of BCS berths since we started doing conference bowl projections a few weeks back, but that's coming to an end this week. Nebraska and Oklahoma State are the only teams left with just one loss, guaranteeing the Big 12 can have just one one-loss team at season's end, and that's a best-case scenario.

Nebraska still has to play at Texas A&M. Oklahoma State still must win at Texas and beat Oklahoma in Stillwater. Maybe all of those things happen, but this week's losses to teams at the top of the Big 12 tell us not to take anything for granted. That said, even if it does happen, the Big 12 title game loser more than likely won't end up in with a BCS slot.

Also, you'll notice a certain team is missing from this week's projections, as I've trimmed the Big 12's likely bowl eligible teams from 10 to nine.

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Nebraska vs. BCS at-large

AT&T Cotton Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. SEC

Valero Alamo Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Pac-10

Insight Bowl: Missouri vs. Big Ten

Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: Kansas State vs. Pac-10

Texas Bowl: Baylor vs. Big Ten

New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Texas A&M vs. Big East

Dallas Football Classic: Texas Tech vs. Big Ten

New Mexico Bowl: Iowa State vs. WAC

Big 12 bowl projections: Week 10

October, 31, 2010
10/31/10
8:30
PM ET
With Missouri's loss on Saturday, there's an intriguing scenario brewing on the bowl front.

It's far from a given, but Missouri and Nebraska should be favored to both finish 4-0 over the next month.

That would mean both teams sit at 11-1 heading into championship weekend, with the Huskers advancing via the head-to-head tiebreaker.

But what if Nebraska loses to Oklahoma?

You'd have a two-loss Nebraska team and a one-loss Missouri that would likely be very close in the BCS standings and both in the top 10, depending on the severity of the loss.

Conventional wisdom says Nebraska gets a BCS at-large nod on the strength of its reputation for fan travel (never underestimate the role of the almighty dollar in bowl selection) and general program prestige.

But maybe not. In 2007, Missouri beat Kansas on the season's final weekend before losing in the Big 12 title game to Oklahoma as the nation's No. 1 team. One-loss Kansas was sent to the Orange Bowl, where it beat Virginia Tech. Two-loss Missouri was relegated to the Cotton Bowl. Head-to-head is head-to-head, but two losses are greater than one. There's a pretty solid argument for either team.

Missouri has felt slighted for the past three seasons after the bowl selection process, landing in the Cotton, Alamo and Texas bowls, in part adding to some of the Tigers' desire to leave for the Big Ten over the summer. Could a fourth be in the works? Either way, if both teams finish 11-1 and Nebraska loses the Big 12 title game, one team is going to be pretty dissatisfied with the bowl outcome.

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma vs. BCS at-large

Discover Orange Bowl: Nebraska vs. BCS

AT&T Cotton Bowl: Missouri vs. SEC

Valero Alamo Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Pac-10

Insight Bowl: Baylor vs. Big Ten

Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: Kansas State vs. Pac-10

Texas Bowl: Texas vs. Big Ten

New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Big East

Dallas Football Classic: Texas A&M vs. Big Ten

New Mexico Bowl: Iowa State vs. WAC

Big 12 bowl projections: Week 9

October, 24, 2010
10/24/10
8:30
PM ET
Oklahoma debuted at No. 1 in the BCS last week, but this week, Missouri became the league's frontrunner. The Tigers don't have the peachy spot in the rankings the Sooners had, and face an immediate major test next week with a game at Nebraska.

Missouri looked the part of national title contender on Saturday night, but the Tigers had a lot of motivation and one of the best crowds at Faurot Field in recent history behind them. They'll have to stay consistent and win that game in Lincoln next week to land in the BCS. If they get past the Huskers, the Tigers will still need some help to get into the national championship.

Like any big game Nebraska plays this year, fans of any team in the conference will probably rally behind the Tigers. The truth remains: Nebraska winning the Big 12 title and snatching a BCS bowl bid would be an awful scenario for the league.

The other obvious big news of the week on the bowl front is Baylor. The Bears locked in a berth over the weekend, and have a chance to move further up the ladder with a few wins in the final month of the season.

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Missouri vs. BCS at-large

FedEx Orange Bowl: Oklahoma vs. BCS

AT&T Cotton Bowl: Nebraska vs. SEC

Valero Alamo Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Pac-10

Insight Bowl: Texas vs. Big Ten

Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: Baylor vs. Pac-10

Texas Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Big Ten

New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Kansas State vs. Big East

Dallas Football Classic: Texas A&M vs. Big Ten

Big 12 bowl projections: Week 8

October, 17, 2010
10/17/10
8:30
PM ET
We'll start projecting the bowls in the Big 12 every Sunday, beginning this week.

BCS National Championship: Oklahoma vs. BCS No. 2

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Nebraska vs. BCS at-large

AT&T Cotton Bowl: Texas vs. SEC

Valero Alamo Bowl: Missouri vs. Pac-10

Insight Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Big Ten

Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: Kansas State vs. Pac-10

Texas Bowl: Texas A&M vs. Big Ten

New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Big East

Dallas Football Classic: Baylor vs. Big Ten

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