Big 12: 2013 season projection

Predicting the 2013 season: Week 14

August, 21, 2013
8/21/13
4:00
PM ET
Last season we began this exercise. Here's how we did last season. Not terrible, but certainly some room for improvement.

We'll move forward again this offseason by making preseason picks for every single game on the Big 12 schedule. By the end of it, you'll see our full projections for each team in the Big 12 in 2013.

More Big 12 predictions for 2013.

Texas Tech 34, Texas 30: The Longhorns haven't been fantastic at home, and the Red Raiders pull a huge upset on Thanksgiving night. Jace Amaro logs double-digit catches and Eric Ward has a pair of touchdown catches to give the Red Raiders some momentum heading into 2014.

TCU 31, Baylor 30: Holding Baylor to 30 points is no small task, and TCU gets a big win to reach 10-2. Devonte Fields and Chucky Hunter help the Frogs win the battle on the line of scrimmage. Throwing off the Bears' timing in the passing game and plugging holes in the running game is the difference here.

West Virginia 38, Iowa State 28: Morgantown plays host to the Mountaineers reaching bowl eligibility in the season finale. The defense struggled early, but Charles Sims caught a touchdown and rushed for two more to put WVU into the postseason.

Kansas State 31, Kansas 17: Keeping state bragging rights means a whole lot to Bill Snyder, a man who loves Manhattan as much as anyone on the planet. The Wildcats keep the Jayhawks at an arm's length all game and deny them a win in Big 12 play.

Current Big 12 standings

1. TCU -- 10-2 (7-2)
2. Texas -- 9-2 (6-2)
2. Oklahoma State -- 9-2 (6-2)
4. Oklahoma -- 8-3 (6-2)
5. Baylor -- 8-3 (5-3)
6. Kansas State -- 7-5 (4-5)
7. Texas Tech -- 7-5 (4-5)
8. West Virginia -- 6-6 (3-6)
9. Iowa State -- 4-8 (2-7)
10. Kansas -- 2-10 (0-9)

Predicting the 2013 season: Week 13

August, 20, 2013
8/20/13
4:00
PM ET
Last season we began this exercise. Here's how we did last season. Not terrible, but certainly some room for improvement.

We'll move forward again this offseason by making preseason picks for every single game on the Big 12 schedule. By the end of it, you'll see our full projections for each team in the Big 12 in 2013.

More Big 12 predictions for 2013.

Oklahoma 27, Kansas State 21: There might not be another Big 12 game that features more of the quarterback run game. The Sooners win this one with a long touchdown run from Trevor Knight on fourth-and-short in the final minute. Eight of those nine guys in the box bit on the zone read fake to Trey Millard and Knight outran the other to the sideline for the score to send the Sooners back to Norman on a five-game Big 12 winning streak that included road wins at Baylor and now K-State.

Oklahoma State 41, Baylor 34: Baylor finally broke through last season and beat OSU for the first time under Art Briles, but doing so in Stillwater is another deal altogether. Jeremy Smith has his biggest game of the year and the Cowboys defense gets a couple of fourth-quarter stops to push the Pokes to a big win against the one-loss Bears who were getting comfortable in the top 10 of the polls.

Iowa State 24, Kansas 20: Iowa State surely had to hear all week about this being Kansas' best chance to end its Big 12 losing streak, but the Cyclones jumped to an early 14-0 lead on touchdown runs from Jeff Woody and DeVondrick Nealy, and held off a Jayhawks fourth-quarter rally with a defensive stop to seal the win and KU's fate heading into its season finale against Kansas State.

Current Big 12 standings

1. Texas -- 9-1 (6-1)
2. Oklahoma State -- 9-2 (6-2)
2. TCU -- 9-2 (6-2)
4. Oklahoma -- 8-3 (6-2)
5. Baylor -- 8-2 (5-2)
6. Kansas State -- 6-5 (4-4)
7. Texas Tech -- 6-5 (3-5)
8. West Virginia -- 5-6 (2-6)
9. Iowa State -- 4-7 (2-6)
10. Kansas -- 2-9 (0-8)

Predicting the 2013 season: Week 12

August, 15, 2013
8/15/13
4:00
PM ET
Last season we began this exercise. Here's how we did last season. Not terrible, but certainly some room for improvement.

We'll move forward again this offseason by making preseason picks for every single game on the Big 12 schedule. By the end of it, you'll see our full projections for each team in the Big 12 in 2013.

More Big 12 predictions for 2013.

Oklahoma 37, Iowa State 20: ISU has beaten the Sooners once (1990) since 1961, and come within single digits just once since that win in 1990. Not much evidence to suggest a second win is coming in 2013. The Cyclones just won't have enough offense to keep up.

Texas 31, Oklahoma State 30: Austin will host what could be the Big 12's game of the year, but the Longhorns make up for two consecutive losses to the Cowboys in Austin in 2010 and 2011 with a hard-earned win. David Ash plays like he did against the Pokes in 2012, and Johnathan Gray hits the 100-yard mark in the win.

West Virginia 44, Kansas 34: KU looked like it was ready for its one-win season to be over when it trekked to Morgantown in the 12th game of 2012. The Jayhawks put up a better fight this time, but there's just too much Charles Sims and Ivan McCartney this time.

Baylor 41, Texas Tech 38: These last few neutral-site games in Cowboys Stadium and the Cotton Bowl have all been shootouts, and we'll see another one in Arlington. The Bears make it three consecutive wins against the Red Raiders with a game-winning drive in the final minute. Lache Seastrunk logs another big game.

TCU 24, Kansas State 23: Another year, another physical matchup. Casey Pachall gives the Frogs a huge road victory with a big fourth quarter and K-State drops a heartbreaker. Waymon James carries TCU for much of the game against the Wildcats' inexperienced defensive line.

Current Big 12 standings

1. Texas -- 9-1 (6-1)
2. Baylor -- 8-1 (5-1)
3. TCU -- 9-2 (6-2)
4. Oklahoma State -- 8-2 (5-2)
5. Oklahoma -- 6-3 (5-2)
6. Kansas State -- 6-4 (3-4)
7. Texas Tech -- 6-5 (3-5)
8. West Virginia -- 5-6 (2-6)
9. Iowa State -- 3-7 (1-6)
10. Kansas -- 2-8 (0-8)
Last season we began this exercise. Here's how we did last season. Not terrible, but certainly some room for improvement.

We'll move forward again this offseason by making preseason picks for every single game on the Big 12 schedule. By the end of it, you'll see our full projections for each team in the Big 12 in 2013.

More Big 12 predictions for 2013.

Oklahoma 34, Baylor 31: And with one Thursday-night visit from the Sooners, the Big 12's last undefeated team is undefeated no more. Blake Bell's breakout game came on this field two years ago, but Robert Griffin's Heisman-worthy game overshadowed it. Bell finds Jalen Saunders for two second-half scores and the Sooners notch a huge win in Waco.

Iowa State 24, TCU 20: You know Iowa State's going to surprise you at least once a year. They routed TCU in Fort Worth last season just four days after Casey Pachall left the team. The Frogs were at full strength this time around, but the Cyclones wore them down with their depth at running back and neutralized TCU's pass rush. Cue the field storming at Jack Trice Stadium.

Kansas State 31, Texas Tech 27: Kansas State uses a balanced attack buoyed by big plays through the air to get a big win in Lubbock a week after Tech pulled off the upset of league favorite Oklahoma State. You're going to see plenty of ups and downs across the Big 12 this season, and in many ways, this game embodies that unpredictability.

Oklahoma State 51, Kansas 24: On the other end of the predictability spectrum is this game. OSU had a close call against the Jayhawks on a rainy Lawrence afternoon last season. Not so this time around. The offense is in rhythm and the offensive line controls the game for 60 minutes.

Texas 38, West Virginia 30: The Longhorns earn some revenge for last year's heartbreaker in Austin. The Morgantown crowd is ready, but Malcolm Brown and Johnathan Gray are too much for WVU's front seven. Texas keeps the ball out of the Mountaineer offense's hands and goes home with a win. WVU suddenly needs two wins in two games to earn a bowl berth.

Current Big 12 standings

1. Oklahoma State -- 8-1 (5-1)
1. Texas -- 8-1 (5-1)
3. Baylor -- 7-1 (4-1)
4. TCU -- 8-2 (5-2)
5. Oklahoma -- 5-3 (4-2)
6. Kansas State -- 6-3 (3-3)
7. Texas Tech -- 6-4 (3-4)
8. West Virginia -- 4-6 (1-6)
9. Iowa State -- 3-6 (1-5)
10. Kansas -- 2-7 (0-7)
Last season we began this exercise. Here's how we did last season. Not terrible, but certainly some room for improvement.

We'll move forward again this offseason by making preseason picks for every single game on the Big 12 schedule. By the end of it, you'll see our full projections for each team in the Big 12 in 2013.

More Big 12 predictions for 2013.

TCU 31, West Virginia 24: The Frogs slow down WVU's offense with some timely three-and-outs and a game plan focused on running the ball. It’s a sound strategy for the Frogs, who escaped Morgantown with a crazy win in overtime last season and hold home field this year to keep the Big 12 title within reach.

Kansas State 27, Iowa State 21: Neither of these teams thought they'd go winless in their first three Big 12 games, but it happened. K-State gets its second consecutive win after a brutal start to Big 12 play. John Hubert is to thank for that. Once again, he carries K-State to a win with a big day on the ground.

Texas 41, Kansas 23: Texas might have taken KU a little lightly last season, and almost dropped what would have been a disastrous road loss a year ago. Not the case this year. Longhorn Network and the fans in Austin see a strong performance from the Longhorns, who were treated to plenty of talk about last year's close call in the week before the game.

Texas Tech 37, Oklahoma State 34: Down goes another Big 12 unbeaten. Oklahoma State's run comes to an end with a road loss to a dangerous Texas Tech team in an always treacherous Lubbock venue. Michael Brewer runs up 350 yards and three touchdowns passes, while Kenny Williams rushes for another in this shootout that leaves Baylor as the Big 12's only remaining undefeated team.

Current Big 12 standings

1. Baylor -- 7-0 (4-0)
2. TCU -- 8-1 (5-1)
3. Oklahoma State -- 7-1 (4-1)
3. Texas -- 7-1 (4-1)
5. Oklahoma -- 4-3 (3-2)
6. Texas Tech -- 6-3 (3-3)
7. Kansas State -- 5-3 (2-3)
8. West Virginia -- 4-5 (1-5)
9. Iowa State -- 2-6 (0-5)
9. Kansas -- 2-6 (0-5)

Predicting the 2013 season: Week 9

July, 25, 2013
7/25/13
10:30
AM ET
Last season we began this exercise. Here's how we did last season. Not terrible, but certainly some room for improvement.

We'll move forward again this offseason by making preseason picks for every single game on the Big 12 schedule. By the end of it, you'll see our full projections for each team in the Big 12 in 2013.

More Big 12 predictions for 2013.

TCU 23, Texas 21: Another year, another Horned Frogs victory. The Fort Worth fans storm the field at Amon G. Carter after a defensive battle that knocked the Longhorns from their perch in the top five and from the ranks of the nation's undefeated teams. The primetime win also pushed Baylor and Oklahoma State to the top of the standings and gave the Frogs their most satisfying result yet as Big 12 members.

Baylor 34, Kansas 17: The Bears struggled early to stop the Jayhawks running game, but Bryce Petty mounts a second-half comeback to take control, even though it was less dramatic than the one Robert Griffin III completed the last time Baylor had to play in Lawrence.

Kansas State 31, West Virginia 21: K-State's quarterback run game baffled the WVU defense just like it did last season, and slowed down the WVU offense in the best way possible: Keeping them off the field. A couple failed red zone trips had WVU wondering if this trip to Manhattan could have ended differently.

Oklahoma 44, Texas Tech 38: Texas Tech exorcized some demons in Norman with a therapeutic win back in 2011, but the Sooners' defense locks down late to slow a furious fourth-quarter comeback and climb a few spots in the standings after a difficult start in league play.

Oklahoma State 38, Iowa State 27: Oklahoma State's first trip back since the last time it played in Ames is much simpler. No overtimes or gut-punch losses were on the schedule this time around. Jeremy Smith goes for 135 yards and two scores to give the Cowboys a convincing victory and a solid grip on first place in the Big 12.

Current Big 12 standings

1. Oklahoma State -- 7-0 (4-0)
1. Baylor -- 7-0 (4-0)
3. TCU -- 7-1 (4-1)
4. Texas -- 6-1 (3-1)
5. Oklahoma -- 4-3 (3-2)
6. Texas Tech -- 5-3 (2-3)
7. West Virginia -- 4-4 (1-4)
8. Kansas State -- 4-3 (1-3)
9. Iowa State -- 2-5 (0-4)
9. Kansas -- 2-5 (0-4)
Last season we began this exercise. Here's how we did last season. Not terrible, but certainly some room for improvement.

We'll move forward again this offseason by making preseason picks for every single game on the Big 12 schedule. By the end of it, you'll see our full projections for each team in the Big 12 in 2013.

More Big 12 predictions for 2013.

Oklahoma State 27, TCU 24: Two of the Big 12's remaining undefeated teams meet in Stillwater, but the Pokes knock the Horned Frogs from the ranks of the unbeaten with a gutsy game from Jeremy Smith. He rushes for 122 yards and two scores, including the go-ahead touchdown in the fourth quarter.

Baylor 47, Iowa State 24: The loss to the Cyclones marked the low point of Baylor's season last year, but no such luck this time around. The Bears are in Waco, and Lache Seastrunk gets a whole lot more than seven carries this time around, like he did last year. ISU's young defense can't keep up with the Bears attack.

West Virginia 41, Texas Tech 37: The Mountaineers get on the board with a big win in Morgantown on the back of their best offensive performance of the season. Jordan Thompson breaks out with 175 receiving yards and 12 catches.

Oklahoma 37, Kansas 27: The Jayhawks play well, but Oklahoma goes on the road and takes control in the second half. Back in his home state, Blake Bell has a career game with three touchdown passes and another on the ground.

Current Big 12 standings

1. Texas -- 6-0 (3-0)
1. Oklahoma State -- 6-0 (3-0)
1. Baylor -- 6-0 (3-0)
4. TCU -- 6-1 (3-1)
5. Texas Tech -- 5-2 (2-2)
6. Oklahoma -- 4-3 (2-2)
7. West Virginia -- 4-3 (1-3)
8. Iowa State -- 2-4 (0-3)
9. Kansas State -- 3-3 (0-3)
10. Kansas -- 2-4 (0-3)
Last season we began this exercise. Here's how we did last season. Not terrible, but certainly some room for improvement.

We'll move forward again this offseason by making preseason picks for every single game on the Big 12 schedule. By the end of it, you'll see our full projections for each team in the Big 12 in 2013.

More Big 12 predictions for 2013.

TCU 27, Kansas 10: Frogs defensive linemen Devonte Fields and Chucky Hunter terrorize Jake Heaps and the front seven keep James Sims and Tony Pierson at bay. TCU turns in its best defensive performance of the year and makes up for the offense's red zone shortcomings.

Texas Tech 31, Iowa State 21: Iowa State has had some luck in Lubbock lately, but doesn't have enough offense to keep up with the Red Raiders this time around. Jakeem Grant produces some special-teams fireworks and Texas Tech holds home field with a solid performance.

Baylor 38, Kansas State 35: K-State would love some revenge in Manhattan, but Aaron Jones hits a game-winning kick to keep the Bears undefeated. K-State uses the quarterback run game well and produces the worst performance by Baylor's defense this season, but Bryce Petty picks up the slack with a 350-yard day through the air.

Texas 24, Oklahoma 21: Oklahoma's modest start to the season continues with another frustrating loss. Texas gets back to winning in the Cotton Bowl and finally ends a three-game skid against the Sooners. The last time Texas won this game, it played for the national title. Are we headed in the same direction this time?

Current Big 12 standings:

1. Texas -- 6-0 (3-0)
1. TCU -- 6-0 (3-0)
2. Oklahoma State -- 5-0 (2-0)
2. Baylor -- 5-0 (2-0)
5. Texas Tech -- 5-1 (2-1)
6. Oklahoma -- 3-3 (1-2)
7. Iowa State -- 2-3 (0-2)
7. Kansas -- 2-3 (0-2)
9. West Virginia -- 3-2 (0-2)
10. Kansas State -- 3-3 (0-3)
Last season we began this exercise. Here's how we did last season. Not terrible, but certainly some room for improvement.

We'll move forward again this offseason by making preseason picks for every single game on the Big 12 schedule. By the end of it, you'll see our full projections for each team in the Big 12 in 2013.

More Big 12 predictions for 2013.

Texas 28, Iowa State 27: The Thursday night atmosphere was an adjustment, and Iowa State sprinted to a 10-0 lead on what seemed like energy alone. The Longhorns' running game took a toll over the final three quarters, and a strong performance from the Longhorns front seven get them a win on the road that's a lot more quality than some might realize.

Texas Tech 31, Kansas 28: Another year, another almost disaster for the Red Raiders. Kansas shows off its obvious improvement in its Big 12 season debut, but Texas Tech drains a game-winning field goal in Lawrence to extend the Jayhawks' Big 12 losing streak to 22 games. Anthony Pierson scores twice.

TCU 24, Oklahoma 21: The Frogs go to Norman and do it again. TCU's defense forces three turnovers and Waymon James takes advantage with a go-ahead rushing score midway through the fourth quarter. The Horned Frogs' defense holds strong to seal the win.

Oklahoma State 41, Kansas State 30: K-State keeps the game closer than it feels by sticking to its running game and adding a late score after the Cowboys race to an early lead against a young defense. Clint Chelf has a career game with 370 yards and four scores.

Baylor 45, West Virginia 31: Baylor earns some revenge for last year's loss with too much offense in Waco. Lache Seastrunk breaks loose for 138 yards and a score, and Glasco Martin pounds in two more, adding 75 yards on the ground. That rushing attack prevents the Mountaineers from making this one interesting in the second half.

Current Big 12 standings:

1. Texas -- 5-0 (2-0)
1. TCU -- 5-0 (2-0)
1. Oklahoma State -- 5-0 (2-0)
4. Baylor -- 4-0 (1-0)
5. Texas Tech -- 4-1 (1-1)
6. Oklahoma -- 3-2 (1-1)
7. Iowa State -- 2-2 (0-1)
7. Kansas -- 2-2 (0-1)
9. Kansas State -- 3-2 (0-2)
9. West Virginia -- 3-2 (0-2)
Last season we began this exercise. Here's how we did last season. Not terrible, but certainly some room for improvement.

We'll move forward again this offseason by making preseason picks for every single game on the Big 12 schedule. By the end of it, you'll see our full projections for each team in the Big 12 in 2013.

More Big 12 predictions for 2013.

Tulsa 30, Iowa State 24: The Cyclones' trip to Tulsa doesn't go as they'd like, as Trey Watts and Cody Green team up for 200 rushing yards and offer a lesson to a young Iowa State front seven. The Golden Hurricane can be sneaky tough at home, and Iowa State loses a second game in three meetings to Tulsa.

TCU 34, SMU 23: This game is almost never easy for the Frogs. It's a heated rivalry and Garrett Gilbert rallies the Mustangs to an early lead in Fort Worth for the Iron Skillet. The second half is all TCU, which puts this one out of reach midway through the fourth quarter.

Oklahoma State 41, West Virginia 31: Morgantown's a tough place to play, and a frenzied second-half comeback gets WVU within three points with six minutes to play after a 45-yard touchdown run from Charles Sims. Clint Chelf shrugs it off and finds Austin Hays for a 6-yard touchdown to ice the game with two minutes to play.

Notre Dame 27, Oklahoma 21: The Sooners felt more confident knowing Notre Dame would be without Everett Golson, but there is the whole matter of that defense. Stephon Tuitt sacks Blake Bell twice and the Sooners endure another frustrating offensive outing against the Irish. Beating a top-20 team on the road is never easy, even if it's missing its starting quarterback.

Current Big 12 standings:

1. Texas 4-0 (1-0)
1. TCU 4-0 (1-0)
1. Oklahoma State 4-0 (1-0)
4. Oklahoma 3-1 (1-0)
5. Baylor 3-0
6. Iowa State 2-1
6. Kansas 2-1
8. Kansas State 3-1 (0-1)
8. Texas Tech 3-1 (0-1)
10. West Virginia 3-2 (0-2)
Last season we began this exercise. Here's how we did last season. Not terrible, but certainly some room for improvement.

We'll move forward again this offseason by making preseason picks for every single game on the Big 12 schedule. By the end of it, you'll see our full projections for each team in the Big 12 in 2013.

More Big 12 predictions for 2013.

Texas Tech 44, Texas State 17: Tech went down to San Marcos last season and played a complete game against a hyped Bobcat team. The Red Raiders look good again against the FBS newcomers and make it look easy. Big day for Eric Ward.

Louisiana Tech 24, Kansas 23: The Bulldogs have a new coaching staff and lost a ton of starters, but the new faces make enough plays to put Tech over the top. KU's James Sims goes over 100 yards, but Kenneth Dixon is too much for the Jayhawks' defense in the second half.

West Virginia 37, Maryland 31: Stefon Diggs puts on a show against the Mountaineers' secondary, but Clint Trickett and Kevin White hook up for two scores. That pushes WVU over the top for a big win.

Texas 31, Kansas State 30: Step 1 of the Longhorns trying to get over the hump in the Big 12 is beating K-State. Texas gets it done in Austin this time with a big defensive stop in the final minutes. Joe Bergeron scores twice and Malcolm Brown and Johnathan Gray rack up a combined 175 yards on a green Wildcats defensive line.

Baylor 51, Louisiana-Monroe 24: Last year's 47-42 Baylor win was a little too close for comfort, but this Baylor team is a whole lot better. A strong start and a couple turnovers from Kolton Browning in the first half give the Bears a more comfortable win against the Warhawks.

Current Big 12 standings:

1. Texas 4-0 (1-0)
2. Oklahoma 3-0 (1-0)
2. TCU 3-0 (1-0)
4. Oklahoma State 3-0
4. Baylor 3-0
6. Iowa State 2-0
7. Kansas 2-1
8. Kansas State 3-1 (0-1)
8. Texas Tech 3-1 (0-1)
8. West Virginia 3-1 (0-1)
Last season, we began this exercise. Here's how we did last season. Not terrible, but certainly some room for improvement.

We'll move forward again this offseason by making preseason picks for every single game on the Big 12 schedule. By the end of it, you'll see our full projections for each team in the Big 12 in 2013.

More Big 12 predictions for 2013.

THURSDAY

TCU 27, Texas Tech 24: Tech's defense is way underrated and plays well against TCU's balanced attack, but Casey Pachall carries the Frogs to a go-ahead score in the fourth quarter. Michael Brewer couldn't engineer an answer in the final minutes.

SATURDAY

Oklahoma State 51, Lamar 10: I don't know who this "Lamar" fellow is, but my hat is off to him for collecting a six-figure paycheck for this game. The only intriguing storyline for this game would have been Oklahoma State transfer Herschel Sims, but he's off the Cardinals' roster.

Iowa State 34, Iowa 24: The Cy-Hawk rivalry has been truly thrilling in each of the past two seasons, though last year's 9-6 game wasn't the prettiest affair. I'm taking Sam Richardson to rebound for his best game since rolling over Kansas last season.

Texas 38, Ole Miss 21: David Ash showed a lot of folks what he was capable of in Oxford last season, stringing together 15 consecutive completions on the way to a 35-point win. This one won't be as lopsided, but the Horns' tempo and balance offensive gets the best of the Rebels once again.

Kansas State 34, UMass 7: Kansas State finally gets a drama-free Saturday against the Minutemen, trying to keep their heads above water in their second year as an FBS member. Daniel Sams gets in the end zone twice.

Oklahoma 37, Tulsa 20: The Golden Hurricane are always an intriguing squad that should be good enough to beat the Sooners if the right factors fall their way, but it never seems to be as close as it looks on paper. That's especially true in Norman. Big day for Jalen Saunders.

Kansas 31, Rice 27: Kansas has done what no team has ever done before: Earned revenge against the Rice Owls. I'll leave it to you to decide how much of that is good and how much is bad, but a win is a win, and it's a road win, too. Kansas hasn't won one of those since beating UTEP back on Sept. 12, 2009.

West Virginia 55, Georgia State 17: The only thing worse than FCS games are games against teams who have existed since 2010.

Current Big 12 standings:

1. Oklahoma 3-0 (1-0)
1. TCU 3-0 (1-0)
3. Kansas State 3-0
3. Oklahoma State 3-0
3. Texas 3-0
6. Iowa State 2-0
6. Baylor 2-0
6. Kansas 2-0
9. Texas Tech 2-1 (0-1)
9. West Virginia 2-1 (0-1)
Last season, we began this exercise. Here's how we did last season. Not terrible, but certainly some room for improvement.

We'll move forward again this offseason by making preseason picks for every single game on the Big 12 schedule. By the end of it, you'll see our full projections for each team in the Big 12 in 2013.

More Big 12 predictions for 2013.

Oklahoma State 47, Texas San Antonio 14: UTSA is in just its third year of existence, and last year was its first year as an FBS team. Not much of a contest here, but going to San Antonio and playing should be a fun experience for Oklahoma State fans.

TCU 41, Southeastern Louisiana 7: Hate you, FBS teams against FCS teams.

Baylor 51, Buffalo 17: The Bulls might make this interesting for awhile, but there's not enough offense to go 60 minutes with the Bears. Buffalo was No. 100 a year ago in scoring offense. Breakout game for Jay Lee.

Kansas State 31, Louisiana-Lafayette 27: The Ragin' Cajuns put another scare into the Wildcats, but a go-ahead score midway through the fourth quarter provides the difference. Terrance Broadway throws for three touchdowns, but K-State defends its home field, where it has won nine consecutive games.

Oklahoma 37, West Virginia 20: Something of a breakout game for Blake Bell. The Sooners look good, but tougher tests are coming.

Texas Tech 44, Stephen F. Austin 13: The Lumberjacks were a below-.500 team in FCS last season. No nervous moments for the Red Raiders in this one.

Kansas 31, South Dakota 14: Poor Jayhawks fans had to wait an extra week before kicking off the 2013 season, but Jake Heaps and Justin McCay hook up twice for scores and James Sims runs for 125 yards and a touchdown.

Texas 27, BYU 21: The Longhorns don't bring their A game to Provo, Utah, but come home to Austin with a win. David Ash bounces back from a third-quarter interception to lead the Longhorns on a time-consuming drive that puts them up 27-14 and out of the Cougars' reach.

Current Big 12 standings:

1. Oklahoma 2-0 (1-0)
2. Baylor 2-0
2. Kansas State 2-0
2. Oklahoma State 2-0
2. TCU 2-0
2. Texas 2-0
2. Texas Tech 2-0
8. Iowa State 1-0
8. Kansas 1-0
10. West Virginia 1-1 (0-1)
Last season, we began this exercise. Here's how we did last season. Not terrible, but certainly some room for improvement.

We'll move forward again this offseason by making preseason picks for every single game on the Big 12 schedule.

Naturally, Week 1 seems an appropriate place to begin. By the end of this exercise, you'll know how I'm projecting every Big 12 team heading into the bowl season.

FRIDAY

Kansas State 27, North Dakota State 21: Kansas State needed a late defensive stop to earn the win against the two-time defending FCS national champions. John Hubert's 150-yard game was much needed, but K-State will be glad to get this dangerous game with nothing to win and a lot to lose behind it. Sneaky fun game here to kick off Fox Sports 1's launch.

Texas Tech 31, Southern Methodist 21: Garrett Gilbert has already beaten Texas Tech in Lubbock, but won't get the job done at SMU in Dallas this time around. After some first-half hiccups, Tech takes control for a solid, but not quite impressive win to kick off the Kliff Kingsbury Era.

SATURDAY

West Virginia 44, William and Mary 17: West Virginia's offense puts up some impressive fireworks against an overmatched FCS team. There are a few good games to watch in Week 1 across the Big 12. This is not one of them.

Iowa State 34, Northern Iowa 13: The in-state rivalry between these two is lopsided, and even a rebuilding year in Ames won't change the gap between the FCS and FBS foes. Sam Richardson has a nice debut.

Oklahoma 34, Louisiana-Monroe 27: The Sooners' 2012 season got off to an ugly, ugly start in El Paso. This is another sneaky dangerous team that reminds me a bit of Utah State back in 2010. Oklahoma wins this one and it's a little too close for comfort. Kolton Browning is back, and Sooner fans would be well-served to watch his performance against Baylor last season.

Baylor 51, Wofford 17: EDIT: Sorry about that. Mixed up South Dakota and Wofford notes. Baylor can score a lot of points against everyone. Big day for Lache Seastrunk in this one.

Oklahoma State 41, Mississippi State 23: The Pokes strike a blow for the Big 12 as a heavy favorite in Houston. Blake Jackson breaks out in a big way. He snags a pair of scores and goes for 100+ yards, and most importantly, he doesn't have a drop.

Texas 37, New Mexico State 10: Texas isn't going to convince anyone of anything good against New Mexico State, but the defense looks good and gives up its only touchdown of the day after the game is well out of hand.

TCU 21, LSU 20: I'll take the Frogs to pull the upset here. Casey Pachall looks shaky but gets the job done thanks to a strong night by the running backs against a young LSU defensive line.

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Monday, 12/22
Tuesday, 12/23
Wednesday, 12/24
Friday, 12/26
Saturday, 12/27
Monday, 12/29
Tuesday, 12/30
Wednesday, 12/31
Thursday, 1/1
Friday, 1/2
Saturday, 1/3
Sunday, 1/4
Monday, 1/12