Big 12: Daryll Clark

The numbers say UT could win the BCS title and OU won't

July, 7, 2009
7/07/09
11:31
AM ET

Posted by ESPN.com's Tim Griffin

The number crunchers at Docsports.com have come up with the common statistical traits that the BCS national championship winners have shared.

1. Be a member of a "Big Six" conference or Notre Dame:

Teams still fitting the profile: 67.

2. Have at least eight wins in the previous season. Of the 11 BCS title winners nine teams (and the past six consecutive) have had at least eight wins the season prior to winning the championship. All have had at least seven.

Teams still fitting the profile: 37

3. Have a winning regular-season record in November-December games in the previous season. Winning games late in the season usually ensures a strong finish. Only LSU in 2002 -- with a 2-2 record in November and December -- claimed a BCS national championship without a winning record in those two months in the year before.

Teams still fitting the profile: 25.

Among those still standing are: Alabama (4-0), Boston College (4-1), California (3-2), Cincinnati (5-0), Florida (5-0), Georgia Tech (3-1), Iowa (3-1), Michigan State (3-1), Mississippi (4-0), Missouri (3-1), Nebraska (3-1), Northwestern (3-1), Ohio State (3-0), Oklahoma (4-0), Oregon (3-1), Oregon State (4-1), Penn State (3-1), Pittsburgh (4-1), Rutgers (4-0), Texas (3-1), Texas Tech (3-1), USC (5-0), Wake Forest (3-2), West Virginia (3-2) and Virginia Tech (3-1).

4. Have a junior or senior quarterback with some playing experience. All 11 teams that have won BCS national titles have had a junior or senior playing. All but Tee Martin of Tennessee had starting experience entering the season.

Teams still fitting the profile: 17.

Among those still alive are: California (Kevin Riley), Cincinnati (Tony Pike), Florida (Tim Tebow), Georgia Tech (Josh Nesbitt), Iowa (Richard Stanzi), Mississippi (Jevan Snead), Northwestern (Mike Kafka), Oklahoma (Sam Bradford), Oregon (Jeremiah Masoli), Oregon State (Lyle Moevao), Penn State (Daryll Clark), Pittsburgh (Bill Stull), Texas (Colt McCoy), USC (Mitch Mustain), Wake Forest (Riley Skinner), West Virginia (Jarrett Brown) and Virginia Tech (Tyrod Taylor).

5. Have six returning defensive starters from a unit that ranked in the top 20 in scoring defense in the previous season. Eight of the past nine teams to have won the BCS title have had a defense in the nation's top 20 in scoring defense the previous season (Florida was 46th in 2007) and all but one team (1998 Tennessee) returned at least six starters from their previous season's defense.

Teams still fitting the profile: 6.

Those teams that are eligible include Florida (fourth in scoring defense, 11 returning starters), Iowa (fifth in scoring defense, eight returning starters), Mississippi (20th in scoring defense, eight starters), Texas (18th in scoring defense, seven starters), West Virginia (11th in scoring defense, eight starters) and Virginia Tech (ninth in scoring defense, seven starters).

The formula has been accurate over the years. Of the seven teams that fit the profile coming into last season -- Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Kansas, Rutgers, USC, and Wake Forest -- all won at least eight games and Florida won the national championship. The team the Gators beat for the national title, Oklahoma, was not included among those on the list.

So keep these trends in mind this season. It might be the reason why we end up seeing Texas and Florida playing for the national championship, if not Iowa, Mississippi, West Virginia or Virginia Tech at the Rose Bowl.

Some not high on Bradford's repeat hopes

January, 22, 2009
1/22/09
6:38
PM ET

Posted by ESPN.com's Tim Griffin

The folks at HeismanPundit.com have earned credibility over the years as one of the deepest websites for breaking down college football's top individual awards.

Heisman Pundit.com has already released its first watch list for the 2009 season. Colt McCoy of Texas is listed as its early leader. But what is really eye-opening about its early pick is that the defending Heisman Trophy winner isn't even listed as the top quarterback in his state on that list.

The website lists Oklahoma quarterback Sam Bradford at No. 10 at its initial poll. McCoy is followed by Tim Tebow of Florida, Jahvid Best of California, Terrelle Pryor of Ohio State and Daryll Clark of Penn State at fifth. Oklahoma State's Zac Robinson is ranked at ninth, in front of Bradford at 10th.

In its explanation, Heisman Pundit notes that Bradford's lack of a returning offensive line is the major reason it is discounting his chances. The Sooners will be breaking in four new starting offensive linemen.

If Bradford skids that far in the repeat balloting next season, his would be the worst repeat showing for a defending winner since Roger Staubach claimed the Heisman Trophy in 1963 and failed to place in the top five in the following season.

It will be interesting to see how Bradford fares next season. He will be playing behind an inexperienced line and throwing to a new set of receivers.

But I'm thinking he is returning with confidence about his team's chances, or else he wouldn't have opted to return for another season of college football.

Ganz's big season earns him title of 'statistical stud'

December, 17, 2008
12/17/08
2:00
PM ET

Posted by ESPN.com's Tim Griffin

I know I've been accused by some of my loyal readers in Nebraska for overlooking the accomplishments of senior quarterback Joe Ganz throughout the season.

It's not that Ganz is lacking for superlatives. After all, he received the ultimate compliment from his coach, Bo Pelini, who described him with a concise two-word description: "a stud." That probably means more to Ganz than anything I could write about him.

But Ganz has been sometimes underrated because of all of the other quarterbacks in the Big 12 this season. It's been easy for the others to be forgotten when players like Heisman Trophy winner Sam Bradford of Oklahoma, Texas' Colt McCoy and Texas Tech's Graham Harrell highlight the Big 12.

It made me think about how good Ganz's statistics would look if they were compared with some of the other top quarterbacks from major conferences from around the country. So I analyzed his statistics against those posted by the all-conference quarterbacks of the other five FBS conferences affiliated with the BCS.

I looked at Ganz with North Carolina State's Russell Wilson, Florida's Tim Tebow, Penn State's Daryll Clark, West Virginia's Pat White and USC's Mark Sanchez as a matter of comparison.

Ganz's numbers hold up pretty well. I guess I could call him "a statistical stud."

Top BCS quarterbacks
 Pass YardsTDs (pass)INTsRatingRush yardsTDs (rush)TDs resp. for
Joe Ganz3,3322310156.72257529*
Russell Wilson 1,769161134.28342420
Tim Tebow2,515282176.745641240
Daryll Clark2,319174145.23265926
Mark Sanchez2,7943010159.120232
Pat White1,510186135.64919826
*Includes one TD reception by Ganz

Big 12 quarterbacks dominate O'Brien semifinalists

October, 27, 2008
10/27/08
6:20
PM ET

Posted by ESPN.com's Tim Griffin

Six Big 12 quarterbacks dot the list of 13 semifinalists named for the Davey O'Brien award.

Among those named as semifinalists for the award include Oklahoma's Sam Bradford, Texas' Colt McCoy, Oklahoma State's Zac Robinson, Chase Daniel of Missouri, Todd Reesing of Kansas and Graham Harrell of Texas Tech.

Other semifinalists include Daryll Clark of Penn State, Max Hall of BYU, David Johnson of Tulsa, Mark Sanchez of USC, Matthew Stafford of Georgia, Tim Tebow of Florida and John Parker Wilson of Alabama.

Three finalists will be named on Nov. 24. The award will be presented during the Home Depot ESPNU College Football Awards Show on Dec. 11.

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