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Bowl chances: Louisville

With five Big East teams fighting for bowl eligibility, I am going to begin taking a look at the chances of each team making it to at least six wins. Next up: Louisville.

Record: 5-5

Games remaining: at UConn, at USF.

Breakdown: Just when you think you have the Cardinals figured out, they go and OD on "Call of Duty 3: Warrior Princess." Or something like that. Whether coach Charlie Strong had a case of TMI in spilling the beans to the media about the video game obesssion is another story. The fact is when you have a team this young, you are going to get inconsistent performances. The Louisville team we saw last week against Pitt was not the one we saw in wins over West Virginia and Syracuse. The defensive line has been banged up with injuries. Disciplinary issues cost Louisville starting safety Shenard Holton and starting cornerback Adrian Bushell last week. The familiar problems on offense resurfaced as well -- not enough production out of the run game and too many mistakes. But is the loss last week enough to write this team off? When they are focused, the defense has been strong (Louisville still ranks No. 2 in the Big East in total defense). The Cardinals have the ability to get after the quarterback, which helps take pressure off its young secondary. When the offensive line finishes blocks, the Cardinals can run. The matchups do not work in their favor in the next two games from that perspective: UConn ranks No. 2 in the Big East against the run and USF ranks No. 3. This doesn't help, either: Louisville has dropped its last two at UConn, and is 0-4 in Tampa.

Chances of getting six wins: 50 percent.

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