If your school hasn’t had a top-six recruiting class in the last three years, odds are it won’t win the 2016 national championship.
Every national champion going back to Florida in 2006 had at least one top-six recruiting class in the three signing periods before winning the national title.
In fact, seven of the last eight champions had at least two top-six classes in the three-year span leading to the title, and each of the last eight champions had a top-four class within two years of winning the title.
Of course Alabama's class ranked first in 2015, 2014 and 2013, and Ohio State was seventh in 2014, third in 2013 and sixth in 2012.
What does that mean for the 2016 season? It likely means your 2016 national champion will come from this group of 11 teams: Alabama, Clemson, Florida, Florida State, LSU, Michigan, Ohio State, Ole Miss, Tennessee, Texas A&M and USC.