So you're saying there's a chance?
December, 11, 2009
12/11/09
11:18
PM ET
By
Chris Forsberg | ESPNBoston.com
Still wondering if the Celtics, winners of nine in a row and boasting an Eastern Conference-best 18-4 record, could win 72 games this season?
According to computer simulations that produce John Hollinger's NBA Playoff Odds, the Celtics could still finish at 73-9 overall, which would set a new NBA record for wins. Then again, the Green are just as likely to finish at 42-40, which is to say that neither scenario is very likely.
But go ahead and print those 2009-10 Atlantic Division champions T-shirts. According to the numbers, Boston is 99.9 percent certain to capture the division title based on computer simulations after the first quarter of the season.
What's more, the Celtics have a 42.3 percent chance of obtaining the No. 1 seed in the playoffs, and an Eastern Conference-best 15.8 percent chance of making the NBA Finals (tied with the Cavaliers).
Noteworthy is the fact that the Chicago Bulls, who had that epic playoff series with the Celtics last season, currently boast a mere 2.2 percent chance of making the playoffs, according to the simulations.
Here's a bit more on how Hollinger's projections are based:
According to computer simulations that produce John Hollinger's NBA Playoff Odds, the Celtics could still finish at 73-9 overall, which would set a new NBA record for wins. Then again, the Green are just as likely to finish at 42-40, which is to say that neither scenario is very likely.
But go ahead and print those 2009-10 Atlantic Division champions T-shirts. According to the numbers, Boston is 99.9 percent certain to capture the division title based on computer simulations after the first quarter of the season.
What's more, the Celtics have a 42.3 percent chance of obtaining the No. 1 seed in the playoffs, and an Eastern Conference-best 15.8 percent chance of making the NBA Finals (tied with the Cavaliers).
Noteworthy is the fact that the Chicago Bulls, who had that epic playoff series with the Celtics last season, currently boast a mere 2.2 percent chance of making the playoffs, according to the simulations.
Here's a bit more on how Hollinger's projections are based:
The Hollinger Power Rankings are a measure of each team's performance in the season so far.
Based on those rankings, each day the computer plays out the remainder of the season 5,000 times to see the potential range of projected outcomes. The results reveal the most likely win-loss record for each team -- and what the odds are for each team to make the NBA playoffs, win the NBA title, win the lottery, and so on.
For more on how the system works, see Hollinger's explanation.
PODCASTS
ESPN Boston Radio with Adam Jones
ESPN Boston Radio: Darnell McDonald
ESPN Boston Radio: Henry Abbott
Cedric Maxwell, NBA
ESPN Boston Radio with Adam Jones
Play Podcast Red Sox OF Darnell McDonald and True Hoops' Henry Abbott
Play Podcast Red Sox OF Darnell McDonald
Play Podcast True Hoops' Henry Abbott on the Celtics-Sixers and other NBA notes
Play Podcast Celtics analyst Cedric Maxwell comments on Boston's loss at Philadelphia in Game 6, Elton Brand, Kevin Garnett, Rajon Rondo, Avery Bradley, Ray Allen, Larry Bird and more.
Play Podcast ESPNBoston.com's Joe McDonald and Peter May
TEAM LEADERS
| POINTS | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Paul Pierce
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| OTHER LEADERS | ||||||||||||
| Rebounds | K. Garnett | 8.2 | ||||||||||
| Assists | R. Rondo | 11.7 | ||||||||||
| Steals | R. Rondo | 1.8 | ||||||||||
| Blocks | J. O'Neal | 1.7 | ||||||||||




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