Wednesday, January 26, 2011
Print those playoff tickets
By Chris Forsberg
Playoff Odds Calculator ScreenshotWhile the easy joke is that the Celtics had a 100 percent chance of winning the Atlantic Division title on Oct. 26, ESPN.com has rolled out John Hollinger's Playoffs Odd Calculator, which confirms that, 44 games into the 2010-11 season, Boston is essentially a lock to capture the division crown.
From there, things get a little more interesting. Boston is currently projected with a 49.5 percent chance to land the top seed in the East, a 24.8 percent chance to make the NBA Finals, and an 11.8 percent chance of raising Banner 18. Currently, the Lakers (25.8 percent), Spurs (13.3), Magic (12.8), and Heat (12.7) all have better odds at winning a championship. Go ahead and dust off your "no respect" cards.
How does it work? Based on Hollinger's computerized power rankings, the playoff odds computer plays out the remainder of the season 5,000 times each day to see the potential range of projected outcomes. The results reveal the most likely win-loss record for each team -- and what the odds are for each team to make the NBA playoffs, win the NBA title, win the lottery, and so on.
Click HERE for Hollinger's daily playoff odds.