Bracketology: North playoff picture, Week 3

September, 25, 2013
9/25/13
10:35
PM ET
ESPNBoston.com presents the latest in our weekly Bracketology series, where we map out what the MIAA playoff picture would look like if playoffs started tomorrow. A reminder before reading: the Bracketology segment DOES NOT include teams who are currently in the playoff chase, as the top eight teams in the North region will qualify for the playoffs.

For a reminder about point-system calculations, here is how the totals are added up for teams in North/South:
  • 12 Points for a win over a team in a higher division
  • 10 Points for a win over a team in the same division, or a win over a team from outside the North or South (including out-of-state opponents)
  • 8 Points for a win over a team in a lower division
  • 3 Points for every win an opponent that you have beaten has
  • 1 Point for every win an opponent that you lost to has

After adding up your team’s point total, divide the total number by the number of games your team has played.

All comments and corrections can be sent to Chris Bradley at Christian.Bradley@gordon.edu, or on Twitter: @_ChrisBradley

For a refresher on how the playoff system will work, check out our three-part "Taking the Field" series from the preseason HERE.

Division 1 North
1. Methuen (3-0), 11.33 points
2. St. John’s Prep (2-1), 10.33 points
3. Central Catholic (2-1), 7.67 points
4. Everett (1-1), 7.5 points
5. Acton-Boxboro (1-1), 6.5 points
T-6. Lowell (2-1), 6 points
T-6. Chelmsford (2-1), 6 points
8. Malden (1-1), 5.5 points

Analysis: St. John’s Prep moves up to No. 2 following its 40-21 victory over Central Catholic last Friday night, but Methuen still sits on top after a 21-18 win over Cambridge on Saturday. The Rangers need to be on upset alert this weekend when they host Dracut, as the Middies nearly knocked off a very good Reading team last weekend. Lowell, following its loss to Leominster, dropped from the fourth spot last week to the No. 6 seed this week; the Red Raiders will be in action against Billerica on Friday night.

Division 2 North
1. Newton South (2-0), 13 points
2. Lynn English (1-1), 8.5 points
3. Reading (1-0), 8 points
T-4. Waltham (1-1), 6.5 points
T-4. Haverhill (1-1), 6.5 points
T-6. Cambridge (1-2), 5 points
T-6. Lincoln-Sudbury (1-1), 5 points
8. Lynn Classical (0-2), 2.5 points

Analysis: As the only 2-0 squad in Division 2 North, Newton South takes the top spot this week following two wins in six days over Brookline and Boston Latin. They’ll have a chance to extend their lead this weekend against Lincoln-Sudbury. Lynn English will have a bye week this weekend before facing Swampscott on Oct. 4, hoping to recover from a crushing 33-8 loss at the hands of Wakefield. Keep an eye on Reading over the next few weeks -- they have one game under their belt, and will have the potential to increase their point total as they play more games.

Division 3 Northeast
1. Tewksbury (2-0), 16.5 points
2. Marblehead (3-0), 11.67 points
3. Masconomet (1-1), 9 points
4. Danvers (1-1), 8 points
5. Gloucester (2-1), 7.67 points
6. Wilmington (1-1), 6 points
7. Beverly (1-2), 4.67 points
8. Salem (0-2), 2.5 points

Analysis: The extra points added on to Tewksbury’s point total have helped a lot, giving the Redmen a significant lead over the rest of the pack in Division 3 Northeast. They’ll head to North Andover this Friday, looking to stay undefeated against the winless Knights. If North Andover can pull the upset, though, look for Marblehead to make up some progress if it can pick up a league victory over Swampscott this weekend.

Division 3 Northwest
T-1. Wakefield (2-0), 13.5 points
T-1. Concord-Carlisle (2-0), 13.5 points
T-3. Melrose (2-0), 13 points
T-3. Arlington (2-0), 13 points
5. Woburn (2-0), 12.5 points
6. Boston Latin (2-1), 9 points
7. Medford (2-1), 8.33 points
8. Winchester (1-1), 7.5 points

Analysis: The blowout victory for Wakefield last weekend really helped them keep up with the tight race in Division 3 Northwest -- they have a game with Melrose this weekend that could be very significant in the points race. Concord-Carlisle has been impressive so far, and if they can beat Bedford this weekend, along with a Wakefield loss, then they can help separate themselves in a region that is very close at the top.

Division 4 North
T-1. Lynnfield (2-0), 11.5 points
T-1. Triton (2-0), 11.5 points
T-1. Bedford (2-0), 11.5 points
4. Watertown (2-0), 10.5 points
T-5. North Reading (2-0), 10 points
T-5. Pentucket (1-0), 10 points
7. Weston (2-1), 6.67 points
8. Stoneham (1-1), 6.5 points

Analysis: Another close race in the north, Lynnfield and Triton will both have Saturday games this weekend, with the potential of taking over first place if one wins and the other loses. The biggest impact game of the weekend in Division 4 North though is Bedford vs. Concord-Carlisle. With a win, Bedford would add at least 12 points to its total, plus three points for each of Concord-Carlisle’s wins.

Division 5 North
T-1. Brighton (2-0), 13 points
T-1. Austin Prep (2-0), 13 points
3. St. Mary’s (2-0), 12.5 points
4. Northeast (3-0), 11.67 points
5. Bishop Fenwick (2-0), 11.5 points
6. Whittier (2-1), 8.33 points
7. Manchester-Essex (1-1), 8 points
8. Lowell Catholic (1-1), 6 points

Analysis: The real surprise following week 3 has to be Brighton, who now has a share of first place in Division 5 North. The Bengals' high-octane offense has put up 104 points in their first two wins over Martha’s Vineyard (60-41) and East Boston (44-22). While Brighton will take on Charlestown on Saturday afternoon, Austin Prep will travel to St. Mary’s Saturday night following its bye week.

Divison 6 North
1. Latin Academy (3-0), 13.67 points
2. O’Bryant (2-0), 13 points
3. Cathedral (3-0), 11.67
4. Minuteman (2-0), 10 points
T-5. Dorchester (1-1), 7.5 points
T-5. West Roxbury (1-1), 7.5 points
T-5. Lynn Tech (1-1), 7.5 points
T-8. Chelsea (1-1), 6.5 points
T-8. Marian (1-1), 6.5 points
T-8. St. Clement (1-1), 6.5 points

Analysis: Latin Academy has gone relatively unchallenged so far this season, giving up just 10 points in three games to start off the year. O’Bryant is hot on their trail, though, as they’re in second place right now in Boston City League South. Given that Latin Academy and O’Bryant don’t play each other until Oct. 25, two days before the points deadline, keep a close eye on both as they try to roll though the city league. Cathedral has been rolling so far this year, outscoring their opponents 122-14. Duane Sigsbury’s squad will get its best challenge yet on Saturday night, when rising Catholic Central Small power Pope John Paul II pays a visit.

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