Bracketology: North playoff picture, Week 4

October, 3, 2013
10/03/13
5:06
PM ET
ESPNBoston.com presents the latest in our weekly Bracketology series, where we map out what the MIAA playoff picture would look like if playoffs started tomorrow. A reminder before reading: the Bracketology segment DOES NOT include teams who are currently in the playoff chase, as the top EIGHT teams in North/South will qualify for the playoffs.

For a reminder about point-system calculations, here is how the totals are added up for teams in North/South:
  • 12 Points for a win over a team in a higher division
  • 10 Points for a win over a team in the same division, or a win over a team from outside the North or South (including out-of-state opponents*)
  • 8 Points for a win over a team in a lower division
  • 3 Points for every win an opponent that you have beaten has
  • 1 Point for every win an opponent that you lost to has

After adding up your team’s point total, divide the total number by the number of games your team has played.

All comments and corrections can be sent to Chris Bradley at Christian.Bradley@gordon.edu, or on Twitter: @_ChrisBradley

For a refresher on how the playoff system will work, check out our three-part "Taking the Field" series from the preseason HERE.

Division 1 North
1. Methuen (4-0), 12 points
2. Everett (2-1), 11.33 points
3. St. John’s Prep (2-2), 10 points
4. Central Catholic (3-1), 9.75 points
5. Acton-Boxboro (2-1), 8.33 points
6. Lowell (3-1), 6.75 points
7. Malden (2-1), 6.67 points
8. Chelmsford (2-1), 6.33 points

Analysis: Methuen makes it through another week as number one in D1 North, but they’ll see quite a challenge tomorrow night when they host a hungry Haverhill squad. Look for Everett to pick up a win over Cambridge on Saturday, by doing so they may be able to separate themselves a bit more in the standings from St. John’s Prep—who will be playing the rest of the season without the state’s best player, running back Johnny Thomas.

Division 2 North
1. Lincoln-Sudbury (2-1), 10 points
2. Newton South (2-1), 9.33 points
3. Lynn English (1-1), 9 points
4. Haverhill (2-1), 8.67 points
5. Waltham (1-1), 6.5 points
6. Cambridge (2-2), 6.25 points
7. Reading (1-1), 5.5 points
8. Lynn Classical (1-2), 5 points

Analysis: Big jump in the standings this week for Lincoln-Sudbury, going from number six all the way to the top see in one week following their victory over second-seeded Newton South (the previous top seed). Lynn English will start up league play this week, with two very important games against Swampscott and Gloucester coming up in the next week or so.

Division 3 Northeast
1. Tewksbury (3-0), 16 points
2. Marblehead (4-0), 13 points
3. Danvers (2-1), 10.67 points
4. Gloucester (3-1), 10 points
5. Masconomet (2-1), 9.67 points
6. Beverly (1-3), 4.75 points
7. Wilmington (1-2), 4.67 points
T-8. Dracut (0-3), 2.67 points
T-8. Salem (0-3), 2.67 points

Analysis: It will be very important for Tewksbury to be firing on all cylinders against Lawrence on Friday, especially given the fact that they have a huge game with D1 North top-seed Methuen next weekend. For Marblehead, this weekend could be huge in terms of playoff implications and which teams get the automatic qualifiers in the Northeastern Conference. Marblehead will host Gloucester on Friday night, and with a win, the Fishermen would take over first place in the league.

Division 3 Northwest
1. Wakefield (3-0), 15.33 points
2. Concord-Carlisle (3-0), 14.67 points
T-3. Arlington (3-0), 13.67 points
T-3. Woburn (3-0), 13.67 points
5. Melrose (2-1), 10.67 points
6. Burlington (2-1), 9.33 points
7. Boston Latin (2-1), 9 points
T-8. Medford (2-1), 8.67 points
T-8. Wayland (2-1), 8.67 points

Analysis: Wakefield still holds the top seed in Division 3 Northwest, but will see a sizable challenge this weekend when they host Watertown tomorrow night--the two teams are in a tie for first place in the Middlesex League Freedom division. Second-seeded Concord-Carlisle will host seventh seed Boston Latin on Friday, with major implications in the playoff standings as a likely result.

Division 4 North
1. Watertown (3-0), 13.33 points
2. Pentucket (2-0), 13 points
3. Lynnfield (3-0), 12 points
4. Newburyport (2-1), 9.67 points
5. Bedford (2-1), 8.67 points
T-6. North Reading (2-1), 8.33 points
T-6. Triton (2-1), 8.33 points
8. Winthrop (2-1), 7.67 points

Analysis: Watertown has the chance to make a huge statement against Wakefield on Friday, and with a win they may very well be able to prove their superiority in what is a very tight Division 4 North race. Pentucket, the only team in the race with just two games under their belt, will look to take over first place this weekend—given they beat Newburyport and Watertown loses to Wakefield.

Division 5 North
1. Austin Prep (3-0), 16 points
2. Bishop Fenwick (3-0), 14.67 points
3. Northeast Vocational (3-0), 12.67 points
4. Brighton (3-0), 12.33 points
5. Whittier (3-1), 10.5 points
6. St. Mary’s (2-1), 9.33 points
7. Manchester-Essex (2-1), 8.67 points
8. Lowell Catholic (2-1), 8 points

Analysis: Austin Prep maintains a slight lead over Fenwick in the Division 5 North standings, given their success against good teams and high strength of schedule to start off the season. Friday night’s game against Cardinal Spellman, the second-seed in Division 5 South, will be a huge game for Fenwick as they look to overtake the top spot in D5 North. Austin Prep will take on Arlington Catholic this Saturday, with a showdown against Fenwick looming next Friday.

Division 6 North
1. Latin Academy (4-0), 15 points
2. Cathedral (4-0), 14.25 points
3. O’Bryant (3-0), 12 points
4. Dorchester (2-1) 10.67 points
5. Minuteman (3-0), 10 points
6. West Roxbury (2-1), 9.67 points
7. Lynn Tech (1-1), 7.5 points
8. North Shore Tech (2-2), 7.25 points

Analysis: Latin Academy and O’Bryant continue to roll over Boston City League opponents, and the two city league leaders won’t meet until late October. Keep a close eye on Cathedral in Division 6 North—the Panthers have a stranglehold on Catholic Central Small, and don’t appear to be letting up anytime soon. Cathedral will host St. Clement for a league game this weekend, while Latin Academy hosts New Mission and O’Bryant heads to Boston English.
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