Thursday, October 3, 2013
Bracketology: South playoff picture, Week 4
By Chris Bradley
ESPNBoston.com presents the latest in our weekly Bracketology series, where we map out what the MIAA playoff picture would look like if playoffs started tomorrow. A reminder before reading: the Bracketology segment DOES NOT include teams who are currently in the playoff chase, as the top EIGHT teams in North/South will qualify for the playoffs.
For a reminder about point-system calculations, here is how the totals are added up for teams in North/South:
12 Points for a win over a team in a higher division
10 Points for a win over a team in the same division, or a win over a team from outside the North or South (including out-of-state opponents*)
8 Points for a win over a team in a lower division
3 Points for every win an opponent that you have beaten has
1 Point for every win an opponent that you lost to has
After adding up your team’s point total, divide the total number by the number of games your team has played.
All comments and corrections can be sent to Chris Bradley at Christian.Bradley@gordon.edu, or on Twitter: @_ChrisBradley
For a refresher on how the playoff system will work, check out our three-part "Taking the Field" series from the preseason HERE.
Division 1 South 1. Attleboro (3-0), 12.67 points
2. Xaverian (2-1), 12.33 points
3. Bridgewater-Raynham (3-1), 11.25 points
4. Brockton (2-1), 9.33 points
5. Catholic Memorial (1-2), 7.67 points
6. New Bedford (1-2), 6 points
7. BC High (1-2), 5.67 points
8. Weymouth (1-2), 5 points
Analysis: Attleboro continues to be the surprise of Division 1 South, holding a slight lead over Xaverian after four weeks and three games played. Xaverian seemed to be emerging as a favorite following their blowout victory over third-seeded Bridgewater-Raynham, but the Hawks then suffered a setback last week against Barnstable—falling 15-14 in their first loss of the year. Xaverian will host Catholic Memorial this weekend, while Attleboro will take on Mansfield. Bridgewater-Raynham has a bye week.
Analysis: With a road trip to Attleboro coming up on Friday, this weekend will no doubt be a big one for Mansfield—who will be looking to stay undefeated and keep up with top-seeded Natick. Natick will take on league rival Norwood, while King Philip will be looking to hold on to a share of first place in the Hockomock Kelley-Rex if they can pull off a win over North Attleboro.
Analysis: Plymouth South managed to stay undefeated last weekend, knocking off crosstown rival Plymouth North. South is followed up closely by Nauset and Dartmouth though, Nauset will head to Mashfield this Friday before they take on Plymouth South next weekend. Dartmouth, whose one blemish was a 41-12 loss at the hands of Attleboro in week 2, will host Durfee on Friday night.
Analysis: North Attleboro’s loss last weekend opened things up a bit for Stoughton and Hopkinton to swoop in and capitalize. This weekend, Hopkinton will need to avenge last week’s loss to Holliston, they’ll travel to TVL rival Medway on Friday. The biggest game in D3 Southwest this weekend though will be Oliver Ames at Stoughton on Friday night—with the winner taking over the top spot in the playoff point standings.
Analysis: With wins already over Needham and Medfield, as well as a 7-0 loss against a very good King Philip squad, Westwood has shown to be a potential favorite in the TVL Large and are now in great position for the top spot in the D4 South point standings. They’ll host second-seeded Holliston this weekend, in what is sure to be a heated showdown.
Analysis: Old Rochester, following loss by East Bridgewater and a slight drop in the points standings by Dover-Sherborn, take over the top spot in the Division 5 South standings after their relatively easy win over Greater New Bedford last week. This weekend, they’ll travel to Dighton-Dehoboth, hoping of course to stay in that group of undefeated teams at the top of the standings. Keep a close eye on Cardinal Spellman this Friday, they’ll play host to a Bishop Fenwick squad that is one of the best in Division 5 North.
Division 6 South 1. Cohasset (3-0), 16.33 points
T-2. Blue Hills (3-0), 15 points
T-2. Diman (3-0), 15 points
4. Millis-Hopedale (3-1), 13.25 points
5. Pope John Paul II (3-1), 10.75 points
6. Bishop Connolly (2-1), 9.33 points
7. Old Colony (2-1), 8.67 points
8. Bristol-Plymouth (2-1), 8.33 points
Analysis: Blue Hills at Diman on Friday night will have major implications for the rest of the field in Division 6 South. While this is nearly possible to project perfectly, it is very possible that the winner of that game could take over the top spot in D6 South if Cohasset loses to Abington on Friday. Millis-Hopedale will have a bye week to prepare for what could end up being the most important game of their season—a showdown with Dover-Sherborn next Friday night.