Video: AccuScore report for Pats-Chargers

September, 15, 2011
9/15/11
4:10
PM ET


In the video above, Cassidy Hubbarth goes inside the numbers to see how the Patriots-Chargers game plays out in AccuScore game simulations.

Among the findings:

* Overall, the Patriots won 60 percent of more than 10,000 AccuScore simulations of Monday's game against the Chargers by an average score of about 31-27.

* Philip Rivers projects for about 25 more yards passing than Tom Brady, though both quarterbacks project for big days through the air (at least two passing TDs).

* If both QBs have big games -- 280+ yards passing 2+ TDs -- the Patriots are still 60 percent favorites because the Chargers RBs are not running well in simulations.

* San Diego running backs Ryan Matthews and Mike Tolbert are projected for just 3 yards per carry. If they have big games -- 5+ yards per carry -- then San Diego becomes a 58 percent favorite.

* Click here to simulate the game yourself, choosing your own scenarios, individual performances, weather and more.

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