Welker evolves as Patriots offense clicks
October, 11, 2011
By John McTigue, ESPN Stats and Info
Welker started his Patriots career with three straight 100-reception/1,000-yard seasons. However, in 2010, Welker’s production dipped due to the increased focus on the tight end in the Patriots’ offense.
Welker’s rebound this season is not just due to his old tricks. The 30-year-old receiver is evolving in his fifth season in the Patriots’ offense.
From 2008 to 2010, only 15.5 percent of Welker’s targets came on throws more than 10 air yards downfield. That’s the lowest percentage of any wide receiver with at least 200 targets during that span.
This season, that rate is up to 30.8 percent. Welker’s 20 targets on passes 11 yards or more downfield lead the Patriots and already exceed his total from 2010.
Welker is not only stretching the field more vertically, but horizontally as well.
The Patriots did not use Welker on the outside edges much from 2008 to 2010. Only 31.4 percent of Welker’s targets were thrown outside the painted field numbers, but that number is up to 40.0 percent this season.
Welker is averaging 18.0 yards per reception on throws outside the numbers this season after averaging 10.5 yards per reception from 2008 to 2010. Even netting out his 99-yard touchdown, the average is three yards higher in 2011. Four of Welker’s five touchdowns on the season have come on throws outside the numbers.
All of this is happening as Welker adjusts to the opposite side of the field. Over 50 percent of Welker’s targets this season have been on the left side, a rate that was below 40 percent the previous three seasons.
It also helps that Welker has yet to drop a pass this season. Welker led the NFL in drops last season with 11, including four in the first five games.
While Welker might not stay on NFL record-setting pace for the entire season, his new-found versatility is a boost to an already potent Patriots offense.