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Video: Patriots-Chiefs AccuScore report

In the video above, Prim Siripipat goes inside the numbers to see how the Patriots-Chiefs game plays out in AccuScore game simulations.

Among the findings:

* The Chiefs won just 15 percent of more than 10,000 AccuScore simulations by an average score of about 32-20. Backup Tyler Palko will start at QB for the Chiefs, but KC won the same percentage of sims with Matt Cassel under center.

* Tom Brady is projected for another 300-plus yard passing game, with a 3-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio in simulations.

* The Chiefs won 50 percent of the simulations in which the Chiefs have for or more sacks and force two or more interceptions.

* If Brady is not sacked more than once and has no interceptions, the Patriots are big 94 percent favorites.

* Click here to simulate the game yourself, choosing your own scenarios, individual performances, weather and more.

http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/pickcenter?providerid=1&gameid=311121017