Video: AccuScore report for Pats-Seahawks

October, 12, 2012
10/12/12
12:04
PM ET
By ESPNBoston.com


In the video above, Prim Siripipat goes inside the numbers to see how Sunday's Patriots-Seahawks game (4:25 p.m., CBS) plays out in AccuScore game simulations.

Among the findings:

* The Patriots won 67 percent of more than 10,000 AccuScore simulations by an average score of 26-20.

* If the Seahawks hold the Patriots' RBs to less than 3.5 yards per carry and sack Tom Brady 4 times, Seattle's chances of winning jump to 59 percent, according to simulations.

* If Brady is sacked no more than twice, the Patriots become 72 percent favorites, according to simulations.

* According to simulations, there is just a 29 percent chance Seahawks rookie QB Russell Wilson throws more TDs than interceptions. If he does, Seattle becomes the slight favorite at 51 percent.
Tags:

New England Patriots, Predictions, Seattle Seahawks

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Mike Reiss first started covering the Patriots in 1997 with the team's official newspaper, Patriots Football Weekly, before moving on to the MetroWest Daily News in his hometown of Framingham. From 2005 to 2009, he covered the Patriots for The Boston Globe, while also writing on the NFL. He started his popular Patriots blog in 2004. Send any questions or comments for Mike to his mailbag. Follow him on Twitter (@MikeReiss).

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