In the video above, Prim Siripipat goes inside the numbers to see how Sunday's Patriots-Dolphins game (1 p.m., CBS) plays out in AccuScore game simulations.
Among the findings:
* The Patriots won 65 percent of more than 10,000 AccuScore simulations by an average score of 27-21.
* If the Dolphins can average five yards per carry on the ground and quarterback Ryan Tannehill limits his mistakes with no more than one interception, the Dolphins become 59 percent favorites, according to simulations.
* The Patriots won 80 percent of simulations in which Tom Brady threw for at least 300 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions. Brady has not thrown an interception in his last five games.