In the video above, Prim Siripipat goes inside the numbers to see how Sunday's Patriots-Jaguars game (1 p.m., CBS) plays out in AccuScore game simulations.
Among the findings:
* The Patriots won 84 percent of more than 10,000 AccuScore simulations by an average score of 31-17.
* Tom Brady last week had more interceptions (2) than touchdown passes (1). The chance of him repeating that this week, according to simulations, is 7 percent. Even if it does happen, the Patriots are still 56 percent favorites over the Jaguars.