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Thursday, September 30, 2010
AccuScore projects a tight game

By ESPNBoston.com



AccuScore simulations of Monday night’s Patriots-Dolphins game uncover the following trends:

* If AccuScore’s game simulations are any indications, Monday night’s game should be a close one. In 10,000 simulations of the game, each team won about 50 percent of the time. In those simulations, the Patriots averaged 23.8 points per game while the Dolphins averaged 23.4.

* Miami quarterback Chad Henne projects to have a passer rating of 84 and Brandon Marshall projects to have 7 catches.

* In simulations, when running backs Ronnie Brown and Rickey Williams each have 50 or more rushing yards, the Dolphins win 77 percent of the time. When the duo has less than 100 yards combined, that number drops to 34 percent.

You can simulate the game yourself here (Insider).