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Thursday, October 28, 2010
Video: Pats-Vikings AccuScore simulations

By ESPNBoston.com



In this Countdown Daily report, Jenny Dell goes inside the numbers for Sunday’s Patriots-Vikings game using AccuScore game simulations. A few tidbits:

-- Overall, the Patriots won 65 percent of the 10,000 AccuScore simulations.

-- If Brett Favre can’t play, the Vikings have only a 27 percent chance of beating the Patriots, according to AccuScore simulations.

-- If Favre only has one interception, Randy Moss has at least one touchdown and Percy Harvin has at least 50 yards receiving, the Vikings are 52 percent favorites.

-- If the Patriots force at least two turnovers and hold running back Adrian Peterson under 100 yards rushing, then New England is 77 percent favorites.