Print and Go Back ESPN.com: New England Patriots [Print without images]

Friday, September 28, 2012
Video: AccuScore report for Patriots-Bills

By ESPNBoston.com



In the video above, Prim Siripipat goes inside the numbers to see how the Patriots-Bills game (1 p.m., CBS) plays out in AccuScore game simulations.

Among the findings:

* The Patriots won 66 percent of more than 10,000 AccuScore simulations by an average score of 30-24.

* Tom Brady is projected to throw for 290 yards and is averaging more the 2 touchdown passes per simulation.

* If the Bills can find a way to pressure Brady and force at least 1 interception while allowing no more than 1 touchdown pass, the Bills become 55 percent favorites, according to simulations.

* If the Bills can't pressure Brady and finish with 2 sacks or less, the Patriots are 72 percent favorites, according to simulations.

http://insider.espn.go.com/insider/pickcenter/nfl/game?gameid=320930002

ESPN PickCenter - Picks, Analysis, Odds, Game Breakdowns - ESPN via kwout