Monday, December 17, 2012
Patriots ride win-probability roller coaster
By ESPN Stats & Information
The 49ers led the Patriots by as many as 28 points in the second half on Sunday night before New England tied the game with 28 consecutive points of its own. San Francisco would eventually hang on for the 7-point win, capping a wild night in terms of win probability for the Patriots. At their lowest point -- trailing 31-3 with 10:26 remaining in the third quarter -- the Patriots only have a 0.8 percent win probability. That increased to nearly 50 percent after they scored four straight touchdowns.
Win Probability During 49ers-Patriots, According to ESPN Stats & Info's Win Probability Model