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|If he's not traded to Boston for Theo Epstein, Brett Jackson figures to be playing for the Cubs in 2012.|
Jackson is definitely the obvious choice when it comes to Epstein-type players in the Cubs system. He’s also the most major-league ready, it’s nearly a certainty he’ll be playing every day in the Wrigley Field outfield at some point next summer. Cubs fans have been hearing about Jackson for so long that the hype has likely overtaken his actual value. Although Jackson is a five-tool player, none of those are at an elite level. His eye-popping 23.9 percent minor league career strikeout rate is of concern, but his ability to take a walk and hit for some power along with good defense in center field should counteract the strikeouts enough to make him a solid above-average regular.
|Trey McNutt's poor 2011 season can be written off because of injuries.|
A 32nd-round pick in the 2009 draft, McNutt was a hot name entering the 2011 season. After posting a 2.48 ERA, with 132 strikeouts and only 37 walks in 116 1/3 innings through three levels in the minors in 2010, McNutt seemed to be on the fast track to the majors. However, an injury plagued 2011 (a finger blister on his throwing hand and later on bruised ribs) led to inconsistent performances, command issues, and a worrisome decrease in strikeouts (65 Ks in 95 innings). However, scouts tend to remain very encouraged by his stuff -- a power fastball, strong breaking ball and a developing changeup -- and most seem to agree that McNutt’s 2011 is a bad year that the Cubs can just write off due to injuries.
This is where we start to mine the lower levels of the minors to find the future of the Cubs. DeVoss is an obvious choice as someone Epstein will be happy to have in his farm system considering the Red Sox drafted him in the 38th round out of high school in 2009. DeVoss nearly signed with Boston for an over-slot deal, but ultimately honored his commitment to play at the University of Miami. The Cubs drafted DeVoss in the third round of this past summer’s draft and found themselves an athletic speedster who profiles as a future lead-off hitter and a legit stolen base threat. DeVoss has shown in a very small sample to be an extremely patient hitter (.449 on-base percentage in 187 plate appearances at two levels). While he has very little pop (no home runs in 42 minor league games) it’s possible he may develop enough power to be comparable to other second basemen. Whether he can play second every day, as opposed to eventually moving to center, is another question. But he’s athletic enough that he’ll be given every opportunity to remain in the infield.
Vogelbach was a 2011 draftee like DeVoss, but Vogelbach didn’t sign until the Aug. 15 deadline. The Red Sox were interested in him, but that’s where the similarities end. Vogelbach has battled weight issues throughout his high school career, but it never stopped him from hitting monstrous home runs. Along with the prodigious raw power (a 70 on the 20-80 scouting scale), Vogelbach brings extreme patience, racking up high walk totals. With his power and body type, the Prince Fielder comparisons are obvious, but on the downside, the name Bob Hamelin has been mentioned as well. He is unexpectedly light on his feet and is a good runner for his size. If Vogelbach can continue to keep his weight in check (he is said to be at 250 pounds as opposed to the 280 he was carrying a year ago), the Cubs may have found their first baseman of the future.
A 14th-round draft pick, Maples received $2.5 million from the Cubs, who lured him away from the University of North Carolina. He is going to be relied upon heavily in an organization with a dearth of talented young pitchers. Maples has an above average fastball that sits at 92-94 mph -- and sometimes ticks up a bit higher -- to go along with a really good, hard curveball. He has a stiff, upright delivery that can lead to command issues and will likely need some cleaning up. However, some scouts feel that due to his athleticism (in addition to playing baseball, Maples was recruited to punt for the UNC football team) it’s worth the risk that he’ll make the adjustments necessary to take advantage of his above-average stuff.
|Matt Szczur has great speed but will he develop as a hitter?|
Another two-sport star that the Cubs paid big money for, the speedy Szczur recently gave up playing wide receiver at Villanova to concentrate solely on baseball. Scouts seem to be pretty split on Szczur’s potential, since he’s 22 and still hasn’t progressed past A-ball. However, the fact that he’s just now focusing on baseball leads some to believe that he can finally tap into his vast potential. Szczur was quite strong at low-A Peoria in 2011 (.314/.366/.431) but struggled when he was promoted to high-A Daytona (.260/.283/.410). Szczur is clearly a wild-card as expectations seem to range from comparisons to Jacoby Ellsbury all the way down to a fourth or fifth outfielder whose swing will never produce much more than slap singles. What isn’t debatable is his elite speed, which many scouts have put an 80 label on.
Wells is a projectable, unfinished product, but his upside is what attracted the Cubs to him. They were thrilled to get someone of his talent in the seventh round of the 2010 draft, but it definitely came at a price. They gave Wells $530,000 to keep him from going to the University of Arkansas. Wells has a big fastball and impressive feel for his curveball considering his age. He’s mostly an upside guy, and upside guys -- especially pitchers -- are risks, but it’s an educated gamble that’s worth taking on the Cubs part.
Watkins has gotten off to slow starts the past two years, but seems to really take off in the second half. Regardless, he still managed a respectable .281/.352/.404 line this season. While he’s not yet a great base runner, he’s just a tick slower than DeVoss. He’s also more likely than DeVoss to remain at second, and there are some who believe he could handle shortstop, which makes him all the more valuable. Like most of the kids on this list, Watkins is extremely athletic with a very polished approach at the plate.
Pretty much an unknown at the age of 17 and playing in the Dominican Summer League, Candelario could turn out to be a star or may never be heard from again. But regardless of the competition he’s facing, Candelario drew 50 walks in 305 plate appearances, leading to a .443 OBP. That’s a rare display of patience by someone at that age. When he did swing the bat, Candelario did some damage, batting .337 with 16 doubles and five home runs. With power being one of the last things to develop for a prospect and adding to that the fact that he bats from both sides of the plate, Candelario is surely an intriguing prospect. Again, take the numbers with a grain of salt as they’re at the very lowest level of competition associated with major league baseball, but he’s definitely a name to file in the memory bank as he continues to progress through the Cubs system.