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Tournament Challenge update: Five-way tie

3/26/2011

Much to the surprise of most of us, Butler is back in the Final Four. Only 0.6 percent of the 5.9 million Tournament Challenge brackets (36,732) had confidence the Bulldogs could pull it off. Last year, 1.6 percent of the 4.8 million brackets picked Butler to reach the Final Four as a 5-seed.

Far more users (23.1 percent) picked Connecticut to reach the Final Four, the highest mark of any 3-seed. However, just 7,365 brackets (0.12%) got both games correct Saturday.

Looking ahead to Sunday, just 1,067 brackets have a chance of getting all Final Four teams correct, although there will be at least two brackets to hit all Final Four teams.

There's currently a five-way tie atop the leaderboard at 910 points. The co-leaders can be viewed here, here, here, here and here, even though that final entry actually missed Butler reaching the Final Four. That person actually has a chance at winning the entire contest without getting all Final Four teams correct.

Southeast Region

  • Of the Elite Eight teams, Florida entered Saturday's game as the fifth-most popular pick to win it all (1.3 percent of brackets.

  • Just 0.6 percent picked Butler to reach the Final Four this year. Last season, 1.6 percent of brackets had Butler in the Final Four as a 5-seed.

  • A total of 4,325 brackets have Butler winning it all.

West Region

  • Connecticut entered Saturday's action the second-most popular team (behind Kansas) to both reach the Final Four and win the championship.

  • All told, 23.1 percent of brackets successfully picked the Huskies to reach the Final Four, with 4.7 percent of those brackets picking them to win it all.

Sunday's games

Kansas-VCU

  • Of the teams remaining, Kansas is (not surprisingly) the most popular pick of the teams remaining to reach the Final Four (61.6 percent), the title game (49.0) and win the title (23.7).

  • Meanwhile, only 0.1 percent of brackets picked VCU to reach the Final Four, 0.04 percent in the title game and 0.02 percent (1,023 total) to win it all.

  • A total of 13,006 brackets (0.2 percent) had Kansas and VCU meeting in the regional final.

North Carolina-Kentucky

  • North Carolina is the third-most popular pick to reach the Final Four (16.2 percent), the title game (7.3) and win the title (4.0)

  • Kentucky is the fourth-most popular pick to reach the Final Four (8 percent), the title game (3.3) and win it all (1.8).

  • 7.9 percent of brackets (465,367) had North Carolina and Kentucky meeting in the regional final.

Potential Final Four fields and number of brackets picking each scenario:

  • Butler, Connecticut, Kansas, North Carolina: 645

  • Butler, Connecticut, Kansas, Kentucky: 414

  • Butler, Connecticut, VCU, North Carolina: 6

  • Butler, Connecticut, VCU, Kentucky: 2

Picks for national champion still in play:

  • Kansas: 23.7 percent

  • Connecticut: 4.7 percent

  • North Carolina: 4.0 percent

  • Kentucky: 1.8 percent

  • Butler: 0.1 percent

  • VCU: 0.02 percent

Title-game possibilities and number of brackets picking each scenario:

  • Connecticut vs. Kansas: 268,437 (4.5 percent of all brackets)

  • North Carolina vs. Kansas: 182,232 (3.1 percent)

  • Kentucky vs. Kansas: 79,176 (1.3 percent)

  • Butler vs. North Carolina: 1,044

  • Butler vs. Connecticut: 881

  • Butler vs. Kentucky: 741

  • Connecticut vs. VCU: 152

  • North Carolina vs. VCU: 125

  • Kentucky vs. VCU: 63

President Barack Obama's bracket:

  • President Obama missed both of Saturday's games. He predicted Connecticut to reach the Elite Eight but lose in this round to Duke, which was eliminated Thursday. He also had Florida losing in the Elite Eight, but to Pittsburgh instead of Butler. The only Final Four team he has left is Kansas, his pick to win the championship.

  • He still has 650 points, now in the 96.9th percentile of the game and ranked 183,470 overall.

Notable Brackets: