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Joe Lunardi's quick Bracketology update

2/19/2012

Here's an abbreviated rundown of Joe Lunardi's Bracketology outlook after Saturday's games. Come back to ESPN.com on Monday morning for Joe's complete bracket.

TOP SEED PAIRINGS

EAST/Syracuse vs. WEST/Kansas (1 vs. 4)

SOUTH/Kentucky vs. MIDWEST/Missouri (2 vs. 3)

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN (projected bids in parentheses)

Big East (9)

Big Ten (7)

Big 12 (6)

ACC (5)

SEC (5)

Atlantic 10 (3)

Mountain West (3)

Pac-12 (3)

West Coast (3)

Conference USA (2)

Missouri Valley (2)

BUBBLE BREAKDOWN (with odds to remain in field)

Last Four In

Seton Hall (55 percent)

Miami (Fla.) (50 percent)

Texas (50 percent)

Northwestern (40 percent)

First Four Out

NC State (45 percent)

Central Florida (30 percent)

Colorado State (30 percent)

Minnesota (30 percent)

Next Four Out

Oregon (30 percent)

Saint Joseph’s (25 percent)

VCU (25 percent)

Illinois (30 percent)