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Joe Lunardi's latest Bracketology update

2/26/2012

We know you can't wait until Monday morning, so here's an abbreviated version of Joe Lunardi's latest bracket projection:

THE HEADLINES

  • No. 1 seeds after today (Kentucky, Syracuse, Kansas, Michigan State).

  • Last team in the field is Saint Joseph's, which beat Temple tonight.

  • UConn is still in despite a loss to Syracuse that drops the Huskies to 7-9 in the Big East.

  • Xavier, Texas and Northwestern hang on to "Last Four In" positions with narrow victories.

  • Huge Sunday games for Miami (vs. Florida State) and South Florida (vs. Cincinnati).

TOP SEED PAIRINGS

SOUTH/Kentucky vs. WEST/Michigan State (1 vs. 4)

EAST/Syracuse vs. MIDWEST/Kansas (2 vs. 3)

BUBBLE BATTLES

Last Four In

Xavier

Texas

Northwestern

Saint Joseph’s

First Four Out

Colorado State

Miami (Fla.)

VCU

South Florida

Next Four Out

Dayton

UCF

Oregon

NC State

BRACKET MATH

Take the "solid" at-large candidates (current tournament odds at 85 percent or better) and there are exactly 34 teams in the field. Add in the remaining automatic qualifiers and that's another 19 spots. All told, 53 of the 68 spots are accounted for, with 15 still up for grabs among current "bubble" teams.

S-CURVE PROJECTION

1-KENTUCKY 2-SYRACUSE 3-Kansas* 4-Michigan State*

8-Ohio State 7-Missouri 6-North Carolina 5-Duke

9-Marquette 10-Baylor 11-Georgetown 12-Michigan

16-Indiana 15-Wisconsin 14-Florida State 13-Louisville

17-Florida 18-Notre Dame 19-WICHITA STATE 20-UNLV

24-Creighton 23-MURRAY STATE 22-Vanderbilt 21-Temple*

25-New Mexico 26-Gonzaga 27-San Diego State 28-Purdue

32-California* 31-Memphis* 30-Virginia 29-SAINT MARY'S

33-Iowa State 34-Kansas State 35-Southern Miss 36-Saint Louis

40-Washington 39-Connecticut 38-Alabama 37-Cincinnati

41-LONG BEACH STATE 42-Arizona 43-Harvard* 44-Seton Hall

48-Xavier 47-Brigham Young 46-West Virginia 45-Mississippi State

49-Texas 50-Northwestern 51-Saint Joseph's 52-ORAL ROBERTS

56-Akron* 55-MIDDLE TENNESSEE 54-DREXEL 53-IONA

57-Nevada* 58-BELMONT 59-DAVIDSON 60-VALPARAISO

64-LONG ISLAND 63-UT ARLINGTON 62-Weber State* 61-BUCKNELL

65-UNC ASHEVILLE 66-Stony Brook* 67-MISS. VALLEY STATE 68-Savannah State*

72-South Florida 71-VCU 70-Miami (Fla.) 69-Colorado State

73-Dayton 74-UCF 75-Oregon 76-NC State

*Current conference leader.

ALL CAPS: Regular-season champion (NIT auto-bid if needed)

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big East (9)

Big Ten (7)

Big 12 (6)

SEC (5)

ACC (4)

Atlantic 10 (4)

Mountain West (3)

Pac-12 (3)

West Coast (3)

Conference USA (2)

Missouri Valley (2)