3-point shot: Considering the brackets

February, 7, 2013
2/07/13
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1. Resident Bracketologist Joe Lunardi posted his latest projections Wednesday night after Kansas' loss, and he had Arizona as the No. 1 seed in the West and Duke, Indiana and Michigan in the other No. 1 slots. I'm not sure Kansas will get back to the top line or if Arizona will hold its spot, but one thing that seems almost a given is that Indiana and Michigan should be No. 1 seeds. Their meeting Saturday certainly showed that these are two of the top four teams in the country. Michigan's ability to hold off Ohio State was yet another example. Indiana and Michigan will likely lose games yet this season because of the depth and strength of the Big Ten -- but that shouldn't diminish that these are two top-line teams. Meanwhile, Arizona will be in the thick of the chase for a No. 1 spot out West (possibly with Gonzaga). But the biggest question for the committee is what would happen if Miami wins the ACC over Duke but the Blue Devils have the better overall resume? I can't see the selection committee still putting the Blue Devils over the Canes if that occurs.

2. NCAA tournament selection committee chair Mike Bobinski was candid on "Katz Korner" on Tuesday about what to do with teams that have top-10 victories but not as much to show for it the rest of the season. Maybe that's why Lunardi had Illinois and Villanova in his first four out in the latest projections. If you didn't know anything else and heard that Illinois had won at Gonzaga, beaten Butler in Maui and Ohio State at home, you would think the Illini were a lock with those three wins. But the Illini have only two Big Ten wins, making it hard for them to get a tourney nod on body of work. Meanwhile, Nova beat top-five teams Syracuse and Louisville in the same week in Philadelphia ... but also got crushed by Columbia and swept by Providence. Bobinski said these types of discussions about teams like this will be interesting. He also said seeding will be tougher than selections this year.

3. Indiana State coach Greg Lansing was rightfully upset that the Sycamores drew Iona at home for BracketBusters on Feb. 23 instead of getting a team that is more of a lock to be on the bubble or in the NCAA field. But Lansing said he had to focus on winning the Missouri Valley Conference. So, all Indiana State did Wednesday was beat Creighton. Now, with victories over Creighton and at Wichita State and neutral-site wins over Ole Miss and Miami in Honolulu, the Sycamores have a better profile than the Shockers and most other bubble teams. Indiana State's split with the Bluejays and the possibility of a sweep of the Shockers also keeps Indiana State (a game behind Creighton) in the hunt to win the Valley title.

Andy Katz | email

Senior Writer, ESPN.com

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